EXPM:HRTFF - Post by User
Comment by
justrelax2on Dec 14, 2019 11:50am
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Post# 30455108
RE:RE:RE:as forecasts
RE:RE:RE:as forecastsasforecasts wrote: My revenue was US dollars but all costs were Canadian.
Revenue in Canadian at 800 tpd is 10,768 oz x $1800= $19,382
If they reduce direct costs by 40% then
19,382 - 13.08 - 6.7 = - $400,000
Subtracting share based payments $80,000
Subtracting exploration $1mil
Company has to reduce direct costs by 50% to show profit. Not realistic. Company took years too long to start development, during debt was mounting.
Debt is 78% of assets, equity is negative.
Company states that it has funds available under the Appian Way agreement. However, reading note 14 the terms are aggregious, including royalties.
Company has pledged all of the assets of the company for the current debt arrangement (current balance $88mil Canadian).
Be careful!
Could you please redo your calculations using a $ Canadian approaching and hugging $ 2000 per ounce....you originally used $1400....moved it up to $ 1800...but using $ 2000 is likely to be closer to reality....that's $ 600 away from your original impressive calculations...I personally believe this currency GAP has caused much confusion over the years....reporting sales in $ CDN and using $ US for costs because of some industry standards...I believe they pay $ CDN for things like salary, hydro, fuel, cement, gravel, and coffee etc...all their mine expenses are paid in $ CDN to local Canadians....many do not understand this and use $ US gold prices in their thinking...there is $ 450 to 500 per ounce difference ...yes, confusing and if not correctly taken into account can easily make us look far worse then needed....and certainly there is no guarantee but it looks very much that gold prices have held very firm at the $ US 1450 AND ABOVE level for some time...and even the mighty GOLDMAN SACHS has forecast an average $ US 1600 for 2020...so if you are " forecasting " could you again redo your numbers using $ CDN 2100 per ounce heading into higher grade ore and 800 TPD stable production....we know there has been production issues...we trust they are being resolved...so if you could please forecast using higher revenue and lower costs, that could be helpfull...thanks