Potash wars and looming forecastsUralkali can ship potash to China on train and has significant advantage on price in Chinese markets. China likewise has invested in Uralkali and is willing to buy more of it to keep potash prices lower.
India is focussing on Belaruskali and few other juniors (to avoid geopolitical risk) and is ready to buy 20% stakes in Belaruskali and assured offtake markets for Belaruskali potash.
If indeed China and India potash is taken from Uralkali and Belaruskali where will Canpotash players sell and profit from their potash ? At this stage it appears race between uralkali and belaruskali is to the finish.