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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Nevada Copper Corp T.NCU

Alternate Symbol(s):  NEVDQ | T.NCU.WT.C

Nevada Copper Corp is a Canada-based mining company. The Company is engaged in the development, operation, and exploration of its copper project (the Project) at its Pumpkin Hollow Property (the Property) in Western Nevada, United States of America. Its two fully permitted projects include the high-grade Underground Mine and processing facility, which is undergoing a restart of operations, and... see more

TSX:NCU - Post Discussion

Nevada Copper Corp > VERY disappointing BUT not the end.....
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Post by mrmomo on Apr 01, 2022 7:49am

VERY disappointing BUT not the end.....

I see Rockdoc has already beautifully outlined all the issues, in great precise detail, issues that i had problems with, so i'm just going to give my overall sentiment of the company at this point, with some references to items in that report. I completely 100% agree with Rockdoc's view on this unfortunately.

Let me start off by saying this, i was completely disappointed with the results & rate of progression from the company's operations with this latest report BUT not totally surprised. Given the cloudy past & plague prone problems with this mine, with its mixed history of dubious decision making and the revolving door of various mgmt figures for the last decade. There was a reason why they kept quiet for over three months without an inlking of any ongoings within the company, nor an update to be seen or even a peep from anyone. And there you have it. I will not get into the specifics with ALL technical issues the company is facing, as i don't want this post to be too long, but i will point out the biggest let downs for me.

The first was the ventillation & the fans. I fully expected them to be installed this late in the game. I won't go on a rant now to criticize anyone for that failure because i'm not physically on site and i don't know all the problems surrounding this issue. But i definitely expected better. Even though they will be eventually installed, it was nonetheless severely delayed and pushed back again. Secondly, i also expected ore production to be at 3000tpd by now and at 5000tpd by mid year at the very latest. But now according to the report, this is all delayed & pushed back as well. No biggy, as i was fully prepared for some possible techinical difficulties with this investment and was working within a frame of 3000tpd for the year. The 5000tpd if achieved would have been a bonus. Still a huge let down though, knowing this reality will now probably be pushed back well into 2023. There are more "issues" i had with this report, but will stop here.

Will not address the finanicial side, as everything seems to be in order on that front and as expected. The problem now lies with timelines & things being on schedule or in this case, pushed back. Because everything didn't go as "planned" and the difficulties encountered, whether coivd related, technicalities, logistical, engineering wise or operational challenges have delayed almost everything, it means much higher expenses lasting much longer. Therefore possible unexpected dilution much earlier. I had already anticipated significant dilution taking place later this year to finance the early stages of the open pit mine, but now that's probably up in the air with everything being pushed back. I figure the completion of the feasibility study will probably be pushed back as well. So as you can see, there's an obvious recurring pattern here, with three key phrases that keep repeating themselves throughout the whole report, being techinical difficulties, more delays & being pushed back. Of course with some sprinkle of Covid being mentioned here & there.

So the big question here, or the big elephant in the room, should an investor keep holding for better days ahead or sell? Tough call. The resource value is most definitely present, there's no doubt about that BUT so are the problems. The problems of convincing investors they can execute & transparency. So not an easy call to make. Something that was obvious very early on, was that this was never a short term investment, and certainly not one without its issues. But the fact remains that there are STILL significant risks involved with it which may present some future unexpected obstacles. So really a difficult one to call at this particular time. Why? Because after getting this very mediocre report from the company, i'm having a tough time figuring out if all this is truly the result of real, genuine problems with the developement & operation of this mine OR if this is all being purposely done to give the illusion of a problematic mine & a compromised asset to ultimately surpress the shares of Nevada for the benefit of someone or some group some time in the not to distant future. Like i said....a tough call.

Will let you know when i decide.....


GLTA
Comment by nofluff on Apr 01, 2022 9:47am
My guess is. Drift to .50 until production good news.  Q3 should be about 1500 tons of copper for 18 million cash. However, that would be a perfect world. Fans and support equip r on site. That is big. No rush to install as they r not holding anything up.  The dyke crossings r the big prob. They r fortunate that they got through once to access bulk deposits. If they can break even ...more  
Comment by bogfit on Apr 01, 2022 10:54am
Most of the time disappointment is the result of unrealistic expectations. The Nevada Copper story is complex.  It’s difficulty in making production is caused by a series of misfortunes, some self-inflicted others imposed by extraneous factors beyond their control.  Unfortunately, much of the ordinary problems encountered during a start-up have been glossed over or not shared with the ...more  
Comment by DiabloRojo on Apr 01, 2022 10:59am
Bog - agree - NCU is a long term investment, but would be greatly assisted with the departure of Pala...
Comment by ZouZS3 on Apr 01, 2022 11:20am
Oh well, long-term seems to always be the response when a stock have been butchered. Who's going to sell on a 70% loss. Might as well lose it all or wait for the long-term in hopes of recovery right?
Comment by patchh on Apr 01, 2022 12:33pm
70% loss   ? SSbank is in @ 77 and as not sold the overallotments; just a small matterof antimatter/time B4 this sho's up @ SSbanks Main Headquarters as a non-performing asset.. there is going 2B mega pressure for ayla to sell.. good news is Payla cannot reach out and dangle a new ding;leberries w a new overallotments to cover forward losses/expenses..  i.e. a quik trip toe ...more  
Comment by RoyKerr on Apr 01, 2022 11:03am
Had to argue with that mr bog.  Resource extraction is messy, long, and not sexy. It is the anti meme stock stock. Thing is, we would die with the extractive industries, and copper is in short supply.
Comment by RoyKerr on Apr 01, 2022 11:08am
'hard to' not 'had to'
Comment by bogfit on Apr 01, 2022 11:18am
"r" you sure?   LOL     b.
Comment by TomsStockHut on Apr 01, 2022 11:22am
who is buying the dumped shares today. Any  idea? Tom
Comment by goldstd69 on Apr 01, 2022 11:26am
I am.
Comment by TomsStockHut on Apr 01, 2022 11:36am
:-)))
Comment by new2inv on Apr 01, 2022 11:27am
Looks like a mixed bag. News has not filtered through all the boards yet. Monday will be interesting Date & Time Price ($) Shares Change ($) Change (%) Exch. / Mkt. Buyer Seller   4/1/2022 11:21 0.625 500 0 0 TSX Morgan Stanley Canada ...more  
Comment by RockDoc1 on Apr 01, 2022 11:21am
I agree bog.  This an investment for the long term.  The copper is in the ground.  There is the potential for a good pit, in 5+ years. This was a pretty disappointing report.  What I have learned is: when these guys go quiet (no report for three months), we can assume things are not going to plan. This is not the first mine to struggle in startup. This is not the first mine ...more  
Comment by patchh on Apr 01, 2022 11:51am
Will let you know when i decide..... ahhhh  just buy a few storks... even if 20% of that damage is inclusive..  ol payla will never hav nuff cashola for a private. then there is the real possiblity of that invisibe aquifer taking a vacation N the next 20,000 years v/s permanent damage to the UG.  i just piled 500 for the keck of it... -->>>  open a second brokerage ...more  
Comment by RoyKerr on Apr 01, 2022 12:02pm
who is more gangster, sol or pala?
Comment by patchh on Apr 01, 2022 12:10pm
Solways is begging for Money Laundering..  Payla is going to play the Tax  Restatment and hiko a sale..  Solway will add stok and double down on the freebies they currently hav in posession..  Payla will get it in the form of a private share handout in UG-Zuggies for one of Sol's performing mine/swap.. solway will get a free munch-ohhs on the insider and the double buss ...more  
Comment by dosco on Apr 01, 2022 12:11pm
Interview overdue... would like to know if this is it with -sounds likecfaked- problems. if ceo wants to help nevada... he just can do it in this quarter!!! IR do your job! We are close to end that problems and start a steady production this quarter.
Comment by slewfoot2 on Apr 01, 2022 12:42pm
Roykerr., its amazing that you have any money at all to " invest" with. Wow. It it a game or are you really that stupid?
Comment by RoyKerr on Apr 01, 2022 2:04pm
stupid people have more fun, just watch special ed karaoke 
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