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Obsidian Energy Ltd T.OBE

Alternate Symbol(s):  OBE

Obsidian Energy Ltd. is a Canada-based exploration and production company. The Company operates in one segment, to explore for, develop and hold interests in oil and natural gas properties and related production infrastructure in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin directly and through investments in securities of subsidiaries holding such interests. It has a portfolio of assets producing around 35,700 barrels of oil equivalent (boe) per day. Its operating areas include Cardium, Peace River and Viking areas of Alberta. Its Cardium asset is a fully delineated and de-risked asset. It is focused on manufacturing repeatable low-decline and high-netback light-oil wells across its Cardium land base. The Viking is a light oil, horizontal development play located in central Alberta. Its operations are focused on the Esther area. Peace River is a stable, cold-flow, base production asset. It operates on a contiguous and an acreage within the heart of the Peace River Oilsands region.


TSX:OBE - Post by User

Bullboard Posts
Comment by krashzoneon Nov 26, 2017 9:43pm
321 Views
Post# 27035073

RE:OBE sold off far more assets to stave off BK.

RE:OBE sold off far more assets to stave off BK.You keep posting this "fact" about 2018 production and 502 MM shares outstanding over and over again, so lets just do some simple math. Lets assume relised WTI price of US50 (they have half or so of their 2018 production hedged at above $50 and closer to $55) - but lets low-ball it:

32,000 BOD x 365 days x US$50 = $584,000,000 in sales.

At 502,000,000 shares outstanding, this gives OBE a Sales/share ratio of about 1.16

If we bump this up to US$55 it will be considerably more (1.27).

If we take the current price of US$1.37 on the NYSE, this gives OBE a P/S ratio of about 1.17 more or less (remember - this is not a precise calculation - there are many other factors that need to be considered).

Looking at some of the other O&G cos that I track from time to time, the P/S on a ttm basis for some of them are ARX - 5, ECA - 3, TOU - 4, TOG - 4, VET - 5.7, WCP 4, CPG - 1.9 (my other favourite soon to be).

So you see, the shares outstanding is not all that important. We all know that PWT got into trouble by acquisition at the wrong time. They financed their take-overs through debt and shares. They git rid of the debt, but they have to keep the shares. More important, imo, are some of the ratios - operational (all the funds flow stuff), financial (debt/equity BOOK VALUE, etc).

Just some random thoughts as we prepare for another week of trading.
Bullboard Posts