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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Obsidian Energy Ltd T.OBE

Alternate Symbol(s):  OBE

Obsidian Energy Ltd. is a Canada-based exploration and production company. The Company operates in one segment, to explore for, develop and hold interests in oil and natural gas properties and related production infrastructure in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin directly and through investments in securities of subsidiaries holding such interests. It has a portfolio of assets producing... see more

TSX:OBE - Post Discussion

Obsidian Energy Ltd > Assessing the damage...
View:
Post by kavern23 on Nov 26, 2021 8:10pm

Assessing the damage...

I have Obe coming in at 80.7M funds flow for Q4...but I am assuming 70 WTI from Tues next week until Dec 31 2021.  Just wanted to look if oil happened to sit at 70...not saying I think it will.
Still pretty good...like a dollar per share in funds flow..
Comment by kavern23 on Nov 26, 2021 8:35pm
For anyone that thinks my FFO number is low, well I try to be on conservative side and I adjusted NG as well.  NG is likely to be higher then the assumptions I am using. Later this weekend I am going to try get a sense on what commodity price level in Q1 does OBE need to FCF 30M...what does that look like.  I know the 75, 80, 85 price points well but I need familarize with lower points. ...more  
Comment by Kramerkarma on Nov 26, 2021 11:00pm
the company has net debt at 409M so it implies 71.6M /88c (29.11/boe) with capex and debt difference. I got 78.7M /97c (32/boe).... 400M debt doable.
Comment by Tim14235 on Nov 27, 2021 10:17am
watch those diffs. they are messy due to tmx
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