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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Oncolytics Biotech Inc T.ONC

Alternate Symbol(s):  ONCY

Oncolytics Biotech Inc. is a biotechnology company. The Company is focused on developing pelareorep, an intravenously delivered immunotherapeutic agent that activates the innate and adaptive immune systems and weakens tumor defense mechanisms. This compound induces anti-cancer immune responses and promotes an inflamed tumor phenotype turning cold tumors hot through innate and adaptive immune... see more

TSX:ONC - Post Discussion

Oncolytics Biotech Inc > Interim Datas and speculations
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Post by SundayMovies on Dec 13, 2022 1:05pm

Interim Datas and speculations

Okay, I am going to help all of you out.

No one will license or take over this company until they peer review one set of final data. Interim data are just not good enough for a deal. So, unnoteworthy can post all the gabage he wants about other deals and anything that is remotely connected to oncology. It does not matter. Only final data do.

But we can speculate that the outcome of if the final data is going to be stellar  this possibily is nearing 100% based on the interim data and related info.

First, life expect for Adlai (the lowest dosage generated 1 PR and 2 SD)... So far we got 9.3 months as per cut off date of September 2022. We are now 3 months down, so can safely add 9.3 + 3 = 11,3 months. The baseline is 10.8 months (see IND-213). So we are already above baseline when Adlai announced the results last week. Add in another 2 or 2.5 months and this would be a stellar life extension and enought to get FDA approval. 

Second, Goblet-1 there now only 4 patients left in the pancreatic cohort being injected with pela. 
The cut off data was Oct 12. Another two months, and all patient would be at 24 weeks another 4 months (April) and all the patients would be at 32 weeks in time for AARC. 

So this stock is very close to explode. Still a couple of weeks at this depressed level... all you can buy. 

We are now set for many positive surprises that could help share price while we wait for more data
  • Japan licensing deal 
  • Adlay 2nd licensing deal but this time for pancreatic
  • Car-t
  • Skin cancer 
Comment by itntdf on Dec 13, 2022 1:37pm
don't believe adlai needs a "second" licensing deal.  they signed an "exclusive" license deal with oncy and it was/is not limited to mbc.
Comment by SundayMovies on Dec 13, 2022 1:44pm
Geeezwhizzz hope not.  I truly think that Adlai was limited to breast. Otherwise, management made a huge mistake of not limiting it. 
Comment by itntdf on Dec 13, 2022 9:03pm
here's the link for the sec filing re: adlai agreement with oncy.   https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1129928/000112992818000028/ex444regionallicensingagre.htm#s1FE5D1335C0E1F06A6BA3F8116B5E6EA only see that adlai has an exclusive:     3. GRANT OF RIGHTS AND EXCLUSIVITY    ...more  
Comment by itntdf on Dec 16, 2022 5:49pm
Geeezwhizzz hope not.  I truly think that Adlai was limited to breast. Otherwise, management made a huge mistake of not limiting it.  from oncy's website:  We are working with Adlai Nortye, a biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering and developing important new treatments for cancer and metabolic diseases, to advance our phase 3 registration program in mBC and to ...more  
Comment by westcoast1000 on Dec 16, 2022 6:05pm
itntdf, Well, the web site should be accurate. Clearly, AN would have to pay royalties on all sales, so it is not a loss. However, if a deal is made with Roche, say. to market a combo of pela, tecentiq and chemo, that would get a different name as I understand it. Then it seems like it would not be covered by the licence to AN.
Comment by itntdf on Dec 16, 2022 8:56pm
in addition to milestone payments to oncy from adlai, oncy would get double digit royalties on adlai sales in adlai's "territory" once adlai gets any marketing authorization. re: roche, whether they want to call a combo a to"may"to or a to"mah" to, if that combo contained pela then it could not be sold in adlai's "territory" since adlai has the ...more  
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