RE:RE:Responses to the last 2 postsBe specific please.
Polaris is not tethered to "the US story". Its prospects are inextricably and intimately tied to the specific heavy construction materials markets in downtown San Francisco and San Jose (i.e. the markets they serve from the Redwood City terminal).
In the near future, a certain percentage of its prospects will also be tied to the market at The Port of Long Beach - whether that is the port precinct or out into a 3 mile radius from the point of entry.
Drivers that matter for PLS's prospects:
- City of San Francisco and San Jose municipal budgets
-Calmat budgets and spending programs in the abovementioned markets
- Any Federal funding prograns such as MAPS, or a renewed highway Bill that allocated funding dollars to infrastructure projects in those locals/markets
- Non public (resi, commercial, industrial spending and construction activity in those specific Polaris served markets).
- the health of tech, and that health of any industry in and around the Bay.
- competitive dynamics, product pricing, marketing partner (CEMEX) behavior.
Volume around 1.0M ton in 2014 Q3.
Well, it was 1.02M tons in Q2 - and pricing softened (on mix) and there was a net loss.
If you speak to the CEO, could you ask if pricing improved QoQ and sequentially on Q, what is margin doing, is it a profitable Q, were there glitches that caused charges? (as was the case in Q2).
LA was touted to be the 2014 mid year/Q3 "up-and-running" story.
Is 2014 the "barn-burner of the year" that the CEO mentioned in late 13 or early 14?
2014 H1 volume was 1.652M tons. So, if I believe you believing the CEO the enterprise will beat 2013's 3.36M tons - by delivering ~3.85M tons.
Still, if LA had come on as anticipated on 6 January, 2014- we'd be looking at a 4.0M+ ton year with higher ASP's - but we are really fumbling are way into 2015. (dont you get tired of hearing? - "...not this quarter, but next quarter will be better..."
Hindsight is beautiful - what should have been released on 6 January, 2014 is a business update saying: "things look solid for 2014, we are improving our lot, we will dilute you around general corporate expenses, and a step up in performance will be delivered in 2015...we think".
Not a surprise really, that the stock is trading a few Canadian pennis above its 2 January, 2014 price.
I agree, be patient, think long term.