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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Paramount Resources Ltd T.POU

Alternate Symbol(s):  PRMRF

Paramount Resources Ltd. is a Canada-based energy company. The Company explores and develops both conventional and unconventional petroleum and natural gas. It also pursues longer-term strategic exploration and pre-development plays and holds a portfolio of investments in other entities. Its principal properties are located in Alberta and British Columbia. The Company's operations are organized... see more

TSX:POU - Post Discussion

Paramount Resources Ltd > Why would POU want to Own Nuvista?
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Post by MyHoneyPot on Jun 27, 2021 12:45pm

Why would POU want to Own Nuvista?

Honey-POO's Buying NVA

Nva is a mess with management, bond holders, lack of facilities, huge capital investment required, fighting declines, Pipestone rampup issues, the list goes on. 

Paramount - it is not complicated with share holders issues, no bond maturity dates, no banks breathing down your neck, no rolette wheel with pipestone, paying a dividend. Why get involved in that NVA mess. 

Clear Sailing

That is the name of the Paramounts new Clear Water/Martin Hills company. Paramount has been in the Clear water for years now, buying land, mapping geology, attending landsales, and seeding the landscape with small companies that are farming in on their land base, increasing the land value of the hood. POU is the Riocan of the oil sands leases marketplace, and clearwater if its not Boardwalk, call it Park Place. 

Smoke Signals

 With the recent flurry of activity with CPG around smokey, the skys are clearing, and all that is left at Smoky Duvernay and on the horizion what looks like mountains, but after closer examination it is piles of green backs towering into the statosphere. Years of over engineering by shell, and over optimization, has left a well understoond, under exploited over analyed resouce that CPG has purchase. With a more pragmatic approach that involves optimising returns, production, and investment, CPG are going to make out like bandits and smokey is the sweet spot of the play, and either the money will be bubbling to the surface, or CPG will have it helicoptered in. 

Aurora Borealis - North Duvernay

User image 

Pou has be sitting on this play for years, and becasue they own all the mineral rights, surface to basement, they have pursuing the shallow ecomical zones while their entire time recognizing the prize that exists in the duverany zone. Paramount has half cycle economics happening here and a lot of surface infastructure. Muphy oil on one side, CPG on another, Chevron pouding at the back door, and shell managemnt hoping we have some positions for them in the future. 

East Duvernay (Vesta 74%oil, 85%Liquids, 15%gas)

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The well results are in and now we simply have to build the plant, or find a midstream partner that wants to build a plant, (Lots of them around) East Duvernay represents a significant landbase, and a significant resource in the best part of the East Duvernay. Vesta has great economics, and JR know all about them.


NVA is simply to messy, to much debt, and to much EGO, pou has lots of opportunity rather than pick up all the hair that comes with NVA, in my humble opinion. 

HoneyPot - Idea.
Go NVA shopping, buy an asset, juice the NVA stock and dump all the shares, get the asset at a discount. 

IMHO
Comment by Sugaree on Jun 27, 2021 2:11pm
Funny, you have preached the complete opposite to this position since last October when POU bought more Nuvista shares. Your opinion changes on a dime, what will it be next week?
Comment by MyHoneyPot on Jun 27, 2021 2:42pm
I guess you have to realize as an investor the landscape is changing all the time. Nuvista has been doing anything and everything to prop up the balance sheet including selling infastrucutre to Topaz that will increase their operating costs, they have very short sighted objectives in mind. Pipestone north is a science experiment right now, multiple zone, multiple well types and multiple ...more  
Comment by Sugaree on Jun 27, 2021 2:56pm
How much cash flow do you think NVA can generate in 2022 if WTI can maintain $65 and NG $3.00? Answer is $450 million. I like them both, but NVA will double in share price long before POU does from here.
Comment by MyHoneyPot on Jun 27, 2021 3:35pm
I don't think so, because the assets that POU own are magnificent.  The clear water asset alone could be worth a billion dollars is my guess. North Duvernay, another 2 billion, east duvernay another two billion.  So POU will change their value in a MOMENT with a stoke of a pen, that what happens when you have more than 2 million acres of land and 1.3 million of acres in oil sands ...more  
Comment by Robertboblaw on Jun 27, 2021 6:15pm
I'm not going to ascribe dollar value predictions to anything, plus I don't really see the point, but what I will say is I believe the numbers speak for themselves. POU has among the best: production per share, after debt production per share, highest oil/liquids production per share, highest free cash flow generation generation per share. To go along with a significant proven land base ...more  
Comment by Raymondjames on Jun 27, 2021 7:49pm
Agreed    
Comment by Sugaree on Jun 28, 2021 10:15am
I agree as well. Paramount in all aspects is second to none. And honeypots comments and insight on Pou are great. But I find his comments on nva and Arx, or any other company that isn't paramount to be disproportionately negative. 
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