TSX:RON.PR.B - Post by User
Comment by
vessobon Dec 05, 2012 10:58am
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Post# 20686295
RE: RE: Niblock's morning statement
RE: RE: Niblock's morning statement I agree with your assessment. As discussed in the call:
- Lowes has estimated the Canadian market to be $40 Billion
- Canada has a desirable high home ownership rate of 70%
- Lowes stated goal is to be #1 or #2 in Canada, with a goal of 100 stores
- Canada is a stable market that will give Lowes the scale they seek
- Deploying Lowes new technology within Rona will immediate bottom line results
- A hostile takeover of Rona is faster and more preferable to slow organic growth
- 80 big box stores plus over 600 smaller stores (almost for free) right out of the hoper will have impact
- To recoup some capital, selloff some stores and groups that don't fit (like Noble Trade)
Regarding government opposition, Canada will be hardpressed to say no to a LOWES takeover, regardless of what the Premier of Quebec has publically said. RONA is not a strategic asset .
In addition, RONA shareholders are in a much humbler frame of mind than when the first offer was made. A $15 offer today will be welcomed with open arms.
But of course, this could all be wishful thinking ....