RE:RE:FIRSTEric "the forever bull" Nuttal.
Recall Eric's optimism circa December 2019 (leading into pandemic crash):
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/eric-nuttall-s-top-picks-dec-19-2019-1.1365113
To be clear, I think Eric frames the opportunity correctly. Just understand Eric has no idea where the price of oil is going (at least no more than anyone else).
Here are 8 of Buffett's best quotes about oil, lightly edited for length and clarity:
1. "When you buy into a huge oil production company, how it works out is going to depend on the price of oil to a great extent. It's not going to be your geological home runs or super mistakes or anything like that. It is an investment that depends on the price of oil." (2020)
2. "You've stuck a lot of straws into the Earth, and it is a finite number. So, the one thing I can almost promise you is that oil will sell for a lot more someday." (Buffett was referring to the large number of oil rigs and wells worldwide, and the increasing scarcity of oil.) (2011)
3. "We have not distinguished ourselves, at all, in the oil-and-gas field, although we've made a little money. We will not be buying, very often, oil-and-gas stocks. But we probably haven't bought the last one." (Buffett was referring to Berkshire's ill-fated bets on ConocoPhillips and Exxon.) (2015)
4. "If we were in an oil stock, it's because we think it offers a lot of value at this price, but it does not mean that we think the price of oil is going up. If we thought oil was going up, we could buy oil futures, which we actually did once." (Berkshire purchased derivative contracts for about 46 million barrels of oil in the mid-1990s.) (2007)
5. "If oil goes from $30 to $60 a barrel, there's no reason in the world why oil executives should get paid more for what's going on. They didn't get it to $60 a barrel. If they have low finding costs, which is under their control, I would pay like crazy for that. A person who finds oil and develops reserves at $6 a barrel is worth a lot more than somebody that finds and develops them at $10 a barrel, assuming they're similar-quality reserves." (2007)
6. "If you have an oil-producing company, you want a management that, over a five- or 10-year period, discovers and develops oil at lower-than-average unit cost. There's been a huge difference in performance in that among even the major companies, and I would pay the people that did that well. I would pay them very well, because they're creating wealth for me." (2006)
7. "It's contributed in a huge way to the prosperity of the world. But the world will not be dependent upon that particular - call it 'windfall' - for the next 100 years. There will be other free lunches available." (Buffett was discussing how long oil would continue playing a vital role in economic development.) (2010)
8. "It wasn't that long ago, that the idea that anybody produced a barrel of oil was, somehow, something terrible. I mean, just try doing without 11 million barrels a day and see what happens tomorrow. If we were to try and change over, in three years, or five years, nobody knows what would happen. But the odds that it would work well are extremely low. For now, most people feel that it's nicer to have some oil in this country than not have it." (2022)