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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Vermilion Energy Inc. T.VET

Alternate Symbol(s):  VET

Vermilion Energy Inc. is a Canada-based international energy producer. The Company seeks to create value through the acquisition, exploration, development, and optimization of producing assets in North America, Europe, and Australia. Its business model emphasizes free cash flow generation and returning capital to investors when economically warranted, augmented by value-adding acquisitions. The... see more

TSX:VET - Post Discussion

Vermilion Energy Inc. > winter is coming
View:
Post by Aurum1983 on Sep 27, 2022 11:13am

winter is coming

SPR release will cease end of Oct.
OPEC+ will likely cut 500,000 bpd for Nov.
China will reopen after Xi re-elected
Demand is going to still high as all the "low hanging fruits" to reduce demand have been picked
Russian output will drop significantly in Dec with embargo

It's hard to see how demand will further drop with all of the above.

On the other hand, it's hard to see how supply will increase. From where? 

Oil is never going below $80 again with the SPR at the current low level. 6 months of release is going to take 6 years to refill.

The central banks have already blown their load...just look at the USD and obviously Powell is at the end of the hike cycle. Prices have indeed come down. We are already in a recession and oil demand remains strong. oil and gas is a necessity, even in a recession. 

Most o&g companies are back at MA200 support and likely a bottom IMHO

Comments?
Comment by Moemoney42 on Sep 27, 2022 11:18am
Agreed on all fronts.. Just listened to Mike McClown on BSN (BNN) state that the US is self sufficient with O&G.. LOL..  Maybe he could comment on the FACT THAT  the US currently produces ~ 12.1 million brls/day and consumes ~ 19.7 million brls/day..  Where I went to school that doesn't compute..!! LOL..
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