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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Valeura Energy Inc. T.VLE

Alternate Symbol(s):  VLERF

Valeura Energy Inc. is a Canada-based upstream oil and gas company engaged in the production, development, and exploration of petroleum and natural gas in the Gulf of Thailand and onshore Turkey. It is also pursuing inorganic growth in Southeast Asia. It holds an operating working interest in four shallow water offshore licenses in the Gulf of Thailand, which include G10/48 (Wassana field), B5... see more

TSX:VLE - Post Discussion

Valeura Energy Inc. > So, what is the number now?
View:
Post by Overertune on Dec 21, 2023 1:55pm

So, what is the number now?

After Wassana 4000 bl/d and Nong Yao C expansion in q1 11000 bl/d,  the total production should be 28000 bl/d.

Assuming 80$ Brent, that is 800 m revenue US $ per year?  Excluding opex and capex 400 m left, and 50% tax, total FCF is 200m US $, same as their MC?
 

Is the estimate correct?

Comment by firstworld on Dec 21, 2023 2:30pm
Additional $200M loss on " developmwnt drilli g to try and maintain production at 19k bbl day in 2024 selling at brend 75-80. Theyse jokers will be lucky to turn a dime in profit in 2026 by which time oil could easily be $60 bbl as global minority suooprting AH2 and forthrike capitulate which they are already doing out of credit and stock.
Comment by BERationale on Dec 24, 2023 10:10am
You have to factor in natural declines on that production. See below what Research Capital is assuming. GLTA in 2024 
Comment by BERationale on Dec 24, 2023 10:17am
Couldn't paste in... in summary for 2024 in CAD at $75 brent Production average: 24,250 boe/d Revenue: $885mm Cash Flow: $370mm Capex: $190mm FCF: $180mm Just what one Analyst is saying though. 
Comment by Overertune on Dec 24, 2023 1:20pm
Thanks for the answer. Is cash flow after tax? = revenue 885 - opex 200m - 50% tax?
Comment by BERationale on Dec 27, 2023 2:18am
Yes also G&A of $30mm. 
Comment by windymayor1 on Dec 27, 2023 12:12pm
Of which only 2,000 bopd from Wasanna netbacks will be able to cover G&A. Gotta spend $ to make $. 
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