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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Whitecap Resources Inc T.WCP

Alternate Symbol(s):  SPGYF

Whitecap Resources Inc. is an oil-weighted growth company. The Company is engaged in the business of acquiring, developing and holding interests in petroleum and natural gas properties and assets. Its core areas include the West Division and East Division. Its West Division is comprised of three regions: Smoky, Kaybob and Peace River Arch (PRA). The properties in its Smoky region include Kakwa... see more

TSX:WCP - Post Discussion

Whitecap Resources Inc > Discretionary Funds Flow = Increase Divvy
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Post by 1970Craig on Sep 23, 2021 2:43pm

Discretionary Funds Flow = Increase Divvy

Whitecap using 65 dollar pricing according to the presentation has 485 M Discretionary FFF . This means that can do what they like , it's discretionary!
   At 75 dollars they have 62 M more so if we cut that in half or in the middle at 70 dollars we would have 31 Million more ( I am just doing ball park numbers here for example only )
     So if they wanted to follow Tourmaline possibly they
could look at spitting out everything after 65 dollars. This I believe is just over 20 cents a share using there fully diluted share count of 640 M. !!     Finally if we take 6 dollars for easy share price numbers and divide it into Tourmaline at 44.   You basically have 7 plus shares dividing into that.   So 7 times 20 cents is equivalent to 1.40 in relation to percentage of divvy to share price. Seems whitecap couid blow there's out of the water.       

     I will say if we could get a 1 penny increase , and a once a year divvy for all Discretionary money's after 65 dollars.    I think I could be happy with that for this year. 


  Looking at there numbers , they could double the dividend at these levels and still pay down debt in a amazing amount of time.   


    This Q what has me concerned about there numbers is the capital allocation for there drilling program  in this past Quarter , and how it will affect there profit per share.   It might shade the news a bit.   We will see. 


   If I am wrong about anything here.  I am used to that.  I don't mind being corrected.  Here to learn ! 


 Thanks 
Craig

Comment by Abouttime1 on Sep 23, 2021 4:21pm
According to slide 14 of the most recent slide presentation, they will base dividends off of $45 wti targeting less than 25% basic payout ratio. They are going to prioritize dry powder for "optionality" Seems like management want to be ready for opportunities. Generalist investors might like this more conservative approach, plus you have Grant F doing your shopping for you.
Comment by 1970Craig on Sep 23, 2021 4:51pm
  I want to see them work the properties/ company's they bought and work the synergies .  I am all for buying barrels over drilling if the metrics work.   I feel if they keep buying we as shareholders will be getting put off . I see daylight here with the debt reduction over the next 2 plus years , and some decent organic Growth along with that to see shareholders get rewarded.  ...more  
Comment by Abouttime1 on Sep 23, 2021 5:03pm
They are being very transparent, it's a more conservative approach. Lots of more aggressive plays if that's what someone is looking for.
Comment by naimsmith on Sep 23, 2021 8:02pm
Such as?
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