RE:Timing the TradeYour post lost my interest as soon as you referred to a reverse split as Dilution, that is 100% incorrect. Was that a type-o or a mistake?
A reverse split is a reduction of shares where the value of sales is then concentrated on less shares therefore the fundamentals justify higher prices. These are done for various reasons with Canopy having done it to move the shareprice higher to comply with NASDAQ listing requirements. It is literally the opposite of dilution.
A Forward Split is when a company issues Additional shares with the intention of distributing sales over more shares therefore making the fundamentals justify lower shareprices. This is done by companies with extremely high shareorices which make the shares out of reach by investors with smaller budgets. Two examples that come to mind are Tesla and Shopify. Both stocks began trading so high ($1000+) that many could not afford more than a handful of shares or none at all (depending on budget). These companies diluted their own sharecounts in order to lower prices.
You can Google "how does a stock reverse split differ from forward split" to get additional information
Best Regards
Q