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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Western Copper and Gold Corp T.WRN

Alternate Symbol(s):  WRN

Western Copper and Gold Corporation is a Canada-based exploration stage company. The Company is engaged in developing the Casino Project. The Casino Project is a copper-gold mining project in Yukon, Canada. The Casino porphyry copper-gold-molybdenum deposit is located in west central Yukon, in the northwest trending Dawson Range mountains, approximately 300 kilometers (km) northwest of the... see more

TSX:WRN - Post Discussion

Western Copper and Gold Corp > Q2: Why would a stock trade at 2.0x NPV?
View:
Post by stockcopper on Jan 26, 2023 4:24pm

Q2: Why would a stock trade at 2.0x NPV?

Hi all (again)
 
 
Q2: Why would a stock trade at 2.0x NPV?
On slide 24 (WRN_Corporate_Presentation_Jan_2023.pdf)
"Enterprise value/project NPV (STUDY) BENCHMARKING
 
it appears they are tring to show how undervalued WRN is relative to peers.
 
I checked out Filo Mining under presentations (Filo Mining Corporate Presentation, December 2022)
 
On slide 3 & 14 & 16, they claim 
 
4.4 Million oz Gold
147 Million oz silver
3.1 Billion lbs Copper
 
With a life of 13 years and NPV(8%) of 1.28 $B ( presume USD)
 
comparing this to WRN (M3-PN200352-Casino-Feasibility-Study-NI-43-101-Technical-Report_compressed.pdf)
pages 1 & 17 
 
a. Gold – 6.95 million ounces
b. Silver – 36.09 million ounces
c. Copper – 4.27 billion pounds
d. Molybdenum – 346 million pounds
 
with a mine life of 27 years and 
 
NPV pre-tax (8% discount, C$M) $3,473
----------------------------------------------------------
Filo Mining is trading at $ 24.29 CAD but appears to have 
half the mine life and less resources.
 
Why is it trading at 2x NPV isn't this like buying $10 for $20? 
is this based on discovery potential or prospecting on the long
term price assumptions? Doesn't WRN have equally as good discovery potential i.e. the anomaly etc.
 
If you compare the two is WRN really trading at such a discount
all because of permitting?
 
Can anyone explain the vast difference in pricing?
Comment by Sooner on Jan 26, 2023 10:36pm
I think Filo was PFS and back in 2019. Recent high grade drill results not baked into PFS...so trading on drill results not financials within a feasibility study I believe.  also never look at stock price but market cap in your analysis. 
Comment by stockcopper on Jan 27, 2023 4:53am
Hi Sooner This makes sense, I consider this answered. Thank you for your comments
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