TSX:WSP - Post Discussion
Post by
retiredcf on Aug 09, 2023 8:29am
TD
Some potential here for them to increase their target. GLTA
WSP Global Inc.
(WSP-T) C$178.44
Q2/23 First Look Event
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12-Month Target Price: C$205.00 |
12-Month Dividend (Est.): C$1.50 |
12-Month Total Return: 15.7% |
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WSP reported Q2/23 adj. EBITDA that was ~5% above consensus. The outperformance was driven by better-than-expected net revenues (organic net revenue growth was strong at +9.3% y/y).
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Meanwhile, WSP increased its full-year 2023 guidance for net revenue, organic growth, and adjusted EBITDA (new $1.915bln adj. EBITDA guidance midpoint is ~3.4% above pre-quarter consensus). Further, organic order intake in Q2/23 of $4.0bln was a quarterly record.
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Conference call at 8:00 a.m. ET (link to webcast).
Impact: SLIGHTLY POSITIVE
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We view Q2/23 as an all-around solid quarter. We are encouraged by Q2/23's strong organic net revenue growth and better-than-expected adj. EBITDA, along with the increase in full-year 2023 guidance, which suggests continued strong performance in H2/23.
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Q2/23 adj. EBITDA was $461.6mm vs. consensus of $439.8mm (per S&P Capital IQ) and our $447.6mm estimate. Adj. EPS was $1.56 vs. consensus/TD at $1.50/$1.48.
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Adjusted EBITDA margin was 16.9% (+20bps y/y) vs. consensus/TD at 17.0%/17.2%.
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Net revenue was $2.74bln (+29.8% y/y) vs. consensus of $2.59bln and TD at $2.60bln. Q2/23 organic net revenue growth was +9.3% y/y. This compares favourably to our estimate of +6.7% y/y and represents a slight acceleration from the +8.6% y/y organic growth reported in Q1/23.
Organic growth was broad-based, with all geographic segments generating positive y/y organic growth in Q2/23. Organic growth was: APAC +14.9%, Americas +11.3%, Canada +6.2%, and EMEIA +5.8%.
Acquisitions contributed net revenue growth of +16.9% y/y; f/x was a tailwind of 3.6% y/y.
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Backlog totaled a record $14.3bln, +3.5% q/q and +25.0% y/y. Backlog organic growth was +1.7% y/y.
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Net debt to adj. EBITDA was 2.0x at Q2/23 (vs. 1.8x at Q1/23); up q/q due to higher net debt used to finance recent acquisitions.
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Increased 2023 Financial Guidance:
WSP increased its net revenue outlook to a range of $10.7bln–$11.0bln from $10.0bln–$10.6bln, previously. Similarly, management increased its adj. EBITDA guidance to $1,900mm–$1,930mm from $1,760mm–$1,840mm, previously. The new implied midpoint adj. EBITDA margin is 17.65% (implies y/ y margin expansion of ~55bps) vs. management's prior implied midpoint margin guidance of 17.5%. WSP now expects full-year 2023 organic net revenue growth to be 6%–9%, up from 3%–6%, previously.
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