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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Tahoe Resources TAHO

"Tahoe Resources Inc is a mining firm. It is engaged in the operation of mineral properties for the mining of precious metals in America."

NYSE:TAHO - Post Discussion

Tahoe Resources > There are 2 possible companies
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Post by materialsgirl on Aug 25, 2017 9:39pm

There are 2 possible companies

A  THO including Escobar.  It is worth $10 a share or more
B  THO excluding Escobar.  It is worth $2 or $3

Therefore all analyst forecasts or valuations by analysts are not so meaningful without describing which company we are talking about.

one house expects

1  July 2018 restart.           Most likely
2  January 2018  restart.    less likely
3 January 2019 or later     even less likely

If the share price, plunges further to about C$4 it will offer a great risk/reward circumstance.

I have no opinion and no guess as to what will evolve in Guatemala except for one thing. Global miners have already downgraded the jurisdiction big time.  The matter is sure to go to the International courts in 2018 unless there is a resolution.
Comment by Weeble on Aug 25, 2017 10:28pm
If there is no restart they could need to renegotiate financing under grim conditions.   Don't forget that there are problems in Peru as well with the La Arena mine being under blockade.   Based on their past record, do you trust management to tell you what is really going on?  The way they have released this news doesn't seem right.  Either they are being ...more  
Comment by Weeble on Aug 25, 2017 10:43pm
Everybody should look at page 15 and 16 of the MD and A.  With Escobal shut down, La Arena really needs to stay online. 
Comment by phil_t on Aug 26, 2017 10:25am
Just curious, how do you arrive at $2-3 for THO without Escobal
Comment by materialsgirl on Aug 27, 2017 5:42pm
How do I arrive at $2 or $3 a share.  Your question is a very reasonable one. Firstly, at current commodity prices, the businesses will never earn a profit.  So, the intrinsic value is zero. However, in the metal space, hope springs eternal.  Investors are willing to pay real money for a shot at cashing in when and if commodity prices blossom. There is no way to measure the ...more  
Comment by Jigsaw on Aug 27, 2017 7:01pm
O.M.G.   how did we go from a temporary suspension to 2 bucks a share and expropriation....like absolute pessimism to the max on regurgitated news on Friday...and you don't even hold a single share.   Sooooo tired of over analysis of what could happen.....so tired of commentary from non-shareholders.. Friday had only 2 statements worth noting: 1.  Tomorrow is the hearing at ...more  
Comment by tadig on Aug 27, 2017 7:26pm
It also seems they are suspending development of ther gold sites. The NR reads that dev will recommence once operations have recommenced. They are in cash preservation mode until the resolution of the trial. Hopefully this gets dismissed at trial or resolved quickly regardless. 
Comment by BASTILLEDAY4U on Aug 27, 2017 8:36pm
Tahoe lost 70+ million in 2015 with Escobal producing more silver than it did in 2016. I can't imagine how bad the numbers for year end 2017 could be without revenue from Escobal.
Comment by tadig on Aug 27, 2017 9:47pm
That loss was due to a $220M impairment from the Rio Alto acquisition. All mines are cash cows and perform better than mid-cap peers on AISC 
Comment by ch08532 on Aug 28, 2017 7:36am
The NR stated that the appeal to restart the mine was denied and now the longer term legal battle begins. Shareholders hoping for a 3 month pause at the mine now is pushed out  another 7-12 months to find out the next milestone. This now has the potential to drag on. This result will now eat into cash reserves as the cap ex to upgrade Timmins and Shahuindo mines exceed 1300 ASIC for the next ...more  
Comment by phil_t on Aug 28, 2017 10:19am
So in short, you pulled $2-3 out of the air.
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