Post by
materialsgirl on Aug 25, 2017 9:39pm
There are 2 possible companies
A THO including Escobar. It is worth $10 a share or more
B THO excluding Escobar. It is worth $2 or $3
Therefore all analyst forecasts or valuations by analysts are not so meaningful without describing which company we are talking about.
one house expects
1 July 2018 restart. Most likely
2 January 2018 restart. less likely
3 January 2019 or later even less likely
If the share price, plunges further to about C$4 it will offer a great risk/reward circumstance.
I have no opinion and no guess as to what will evolve in Guatemala except for one thing. Global miners have already downgraded the jurisdiction big time. The matter is sure to go to the International courts in 2018 unless there is a resolution.
Comment by
Weeble on Aug 25, 2017 10:43pm
Everybody should look at page 15 and 16 of the MD and A. With Escobal shut down, La Arena really needs to stay online.
Comment by
phil_t on Aug 26, 2017 10:25am
Just curious, how do you arrive at $2-3 for THO without Escobal
Comment by
tadig on Aug 27, 2017 7:26pm
It also seems they are suspending development of ther gold sites. The NR reads that dev will recommence once operations have recommenced. They are in cash preservation mode until the resolution of the trial. Hopefully this gets dismissed at trial or resolved quickly regardless.
Comment by
BASTILLEDAY4U on Aug 27, 2017 8:36pm
Tahoe lost 70+ million in 2015 with Escobal producing more silver than it did in 2016. I can't imagine how bad the numbers for year end 2017 could be without revenue from Escobal.
Comment by
tadig on Aug 27, 2017 9:47pm
That loss was due to a $220M impairment from the Rio Alto acquisition. All mines are cash cows and perform better than mid-cap peers on AISC
Comment by
phil_t on Aug 28, 2017 10:19am
So in short, you pulled $2-3 out of the air.