Post by
reddog11 on Apr 01, 2023 1:56pm
Bull River Mine existing mined ore body value
The following is my best understanding of the Bull River Mine existing ore pile.
Its a big deal. This is NOT a tailing pile.
CCMI is applying for two permits.
Phase 1 and Phase 2. Phase 1 is to reclaim the existing ore pile and Phase 2 is for underground mining.
Existing ORE pile:
iI have reviewed the information about Bull River on the website. Im certainly NOT an analyst and I could be reading the information wrong, so do your own research.
Speaking very basically:
For ease of basic copper value I have NOT included any of the gold / silver / other base metal by product.
Table 14.1 of the Technical report shows at a cutoff of .9 % copper the mine has 2,261,000 Tonne of material with a copper content of 89,545,000 pounds of copper. Using this data then each tonne of material will contain about 39.6 pounds of copper. At $3.50 copper each tonne is worth $138.60.
Table 9.1 and 9.2 of the Bull River project mine description shows a cost of $27/ pound operating cost of each tonne of existing material. $138.6 - $27 = $111/tonne would be the return to the company.
There is 180,000 tonne of existing ore already on site.
180,000 x $111 = $19,980,000 value in the existing ore pile.
Table 9.1 of the Bull River project mine description shows a capital cost of $6.5 million to get the existing ore processed. $19,980,000 - $6,500,000 = $13.5 million complete value to the company.
Currently the ENTIRE market cap of CCMI is less than the $13.5 million which is absolute value to the company.
Value the underground Bull River resource as $0.
Value the Thierry mine at $0.
Value all the existing infrastructure of Bull River at $0.
...and the pure value of the existing ore pile ONLY is $.06 / share.
Again, I did not include ANY gold / silver by product.
I also used $3.50 copper. Currentlty around $4.08.
I just find this so compelling.
CCMI is arranging for a reconnect of power and with the latest news as of yesterday I find very little reason CCMI does not expect a Phase 1 permit.
All of the above is no guarantee, so do your own research.
I hope I can help other frustrated share holders to step back a bit and relook at this company and their resource.
jmo
RD
Comment by
jleer42 on Apr 01, 2023 5:55pm
Thanks for sharing your analysis Red. I agree, the raw mined ore is what makes this less risky than other non-producing brown fields. I like Ian and the mine potential, but the mined ore is what has kept me invested. It has always been a dice roll for me, but I thought it would be to the moon or bust long before now. It will be interesting to see what happens with the stock on Monday.
Comment by
reddog11 on Apr 01, 2023 7:08pm
jleer42, Boy, me also about the timing. Its really odd that with governments wanting critical metals the bureaucracy still dictates to a company demise. I can not guarantee any permit, but its obvious CCMI is relatively sure its coming. as far as impact on share price? Ha. I would bet nearly nothing. We need a permit. RD
Comment by
jleer42 on Apr 03, 2023 4:03pm
Well today was dissapointing, Just over $300k shares traded for around $15k and no SP movement. Bid actually dropped a half cent at close. At least my O&G provided some excitement today.
Comment by
reddog11 on Apr 03, 2023 4:23pm
Just no interest at all. Really frustrating. RD
Comment by
jleer42 on Apr 03, 2023 6:54pm
I am hopeful at somepoint it gets permitted and then there should be a flurry of interest. As it is, whenever I want, I can still pick up cheap shares. Speculative though, I invest knowing it could go to zero. I don't see that happening, but it keeps my investment small.