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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Canada Nickel Company Inc V.CNC

Alternate Symbol(s):  CNIKF

Canada Nickel Company Inc. is a Canada-based company, which is engaged in advancing the nickel-sulfide projects to deliver nickel required to feed the electric vehicle and stainless-steel markets. The Company owns flagship Crawford Nickel-Cobalt Sulphide Project in the heart of the prolific Timmins-Cochrane mining camp. The Company also owns 25 additional nickel targets located near the... see more

TSXV:CNC - Post Discussion

Canada Nickel Company Inc > Calculations
View:
Post by Rm90090 on Oct 05, 2021 9:50am

Calculations

Please let me know if my math is off here:

Previous NAV8: 1.2B USD
New NAV8: 2.1B USD. Converted to 2.64B CDN.

Mark Selby said take over price is 1.2 to 1.5 NAV; meaning a takeover price of 3.17B to 4B.

Meaning, (assuming 100M shares) a takeover share price of $31.7 to $40.

THEN, we add in the district potential with multiples other deposits.

Am I missing anything here?

Comment by Rm90090 on Oct 05, 2021 9:54am
AND crawford is supposed to double in size because PEA numbers are based on deposit size in Oct.
Comment by Rm90090 on Oct 05, 2021 9:59am
So updated calculations would be: Previous NAV8: 1.2B USD ADD 50% from additional drilling. ADD 920M in additional NAV from increased recovery. New NAV8: 2.7 USD. Converted to 3.4B CDN. Mark Selby said take over price is 1.2 to 1.5 NAV; meaning a takeover price of 4.08B to 5.1B Meaning, (assuming 100M shares) a takeover share price of $40.8 to $51 CDN THEN, we add in the ...more  
Comment by EndZonefor7 on Oct 05, 2021 10:37am
Makes total sense to me RM. As Mark said our share price will soon get a "significant re-rate" once the market grasps what we're sitting on.
Comment by apapas1973 on Oct 05, 2021 12:00pm
Let's hope so RM. The value will be in the properties, but no major will let this run that long before a takeover. It will have derisked by that time. Unless it gets there very quick. Once we hit high teens you'll start to hear rumours of takeovers. At about 30% plus premium, it puts us mid 20's maybe high. 20's. Now whether an offer like that is accepted is another story. Or ...more  
Comment by Rm90090 on Oct 05, 2021 12:37pm
The main question I have is how the valuation will be conducted of the other properties if a buyout occurs. The PEA and FS will be on Crawford only. I think what Mark was saying was that the 1.2 or 1.5 multiple of Crawford would be if they have good drill results establishing other deposits. I was hoping that they would be able to show 4 Crawfords with each having a NAV of 2B - giving us an ...more  
Comment by caramba71 on Oct 05, 2021 6:13pm
There will be some dilution due to additional funds required - though in the context of these numbers that appears to be 'manageable' if not almost negligible. Finally getting excited again.
Comment by KerStockhouse on Oct 06, 2021 9:50am
I wish we could say immaterial
Comment by idlefreebird on Oct 05, 2021 11:53am
rm...no that's right ..i was rushing out the door for daily golf routine...so i just winged in the quick numbers..glta
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