RE:Now we have 4 or 5 rivers to follow....
It's like looking at rain on a field. In some places it sinks into the ground evenly, so there's lots of evidence of rain but no puddle. If you start seeing channels of water on the field, though, it gets exciting. Some of those channels will probably sink into the ground without forming a pool. But if you start seeing channels coming together and getting bigger, then the chances are huge that if you follow them there will be a pool at the end of them. We just saw two significant channels running in the same direction, so to discount this as "mediocre" without knowing where they go is in my opinion quite poor judgment.
Bear in mind that less than 2% of the float has changed hands in the past two days. The other 98% is not particularly perturbed.