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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Nickel 28 Capital Corp V.NKL

Alternate Symbol(s):  CONXF

Nickel 28 Capital Corp. is a Canada-based nickel-cobalt producer through its 8.56% joint-venture interest in the Ramu Nickel-Cobalt Operation located in Papua New Guinea. In addition, the Company manages a portfolio of nickel and cobalt royalties on projects in Canada, Australia and Papua New Guinea, including a 1.75% net smelter return (NSR) royalty on the fully permitted Dumont nickel project... see more

TSXV:NKL - Post Discussion

Nickel 28 Capital Corp > Payability and warehousing (Storage)
View:
Post by urai58 on Jan 20, 2023 3:35am

Payability and warehousing (Storage)

Thank you @Talchior for the inquiry at CEO.CA. I have understood it very well now: 
 
"Recovery": Technical term
The mill recovery is the percentage of metal that is recovered during the process, (...)
 
"Payability": Market term
Payability is the percentage that can immediately be sold to a buyer. A payability of 75% Ni implies that 25% cannot be sold immediately and is thus sent to storage.
 
The 92% payability in summer 2022 was pure "wishful thinking" or negligent handling of facts. Disruption of the (international) supply chains but especially the Covid lockdown in China were a fact and therefore it was logical that only a part of the produced metal (nickel/cobalt) could be sold. 
 
But the payability refers only to the "short term" profitability. This is because the "unsold" metal goes into a warehouse (Storage). If demand picks up, this metal can be sold. Consequence: higher cash flow relative to production for nickel 28. Which probably happened in H2 2022. We will get production and sales figures towards end of Jan 2023.
 
@Talchior
Now I would have one more question for @Anthony Milewski. In order to estimate future potential cash flow it would be interesting to know how much (produced and unsold) metal is stored at any given time. This figure should be disclosed by the operator at least on a semesterly basis. 8.56% and later 11.3% would be owned by Nickel 28. It would be great if you could ask Anthony at CEO.CA about this Key performance indicator. Thank you very much.
 
urai58
 
Comment by ICNick on Jan 20, 2023 5:57am
Thank you both. I fully agree withTalchior re: what is sold vs what is quantities on hand (in warehouse) at the end of every given quarter. This is key data that should be disclosed.
Comment by Talchior on Jan 20, 2023 7:13am
For people without watching, I asked the question.  @anthony-Milweski I am sharing a question from another channels based on your. Explanation. Could you provide what is sold vs what is quantities on hand (in warehouse) at the end of every given quarter? And the current stock? I think the figures will be interesting and help everyone to understand better the future cash-flow. 
Comment by urai58 on Jan 20, 2023 9:56am
Thanks again @Talchior for your support. urai58 P.S. There is another interesting point in Anthony's answers: NKL plans to repay the CAPEX debt with the FCF in 2023/2024. That's very positive. Most importantly, in 2026 (last year's Tax Holiday) we own 11.30% of Ramu - the sooner the better. 
Comment by Talchior on Jan 20, 2023 10:37am
I can't agree more wit you. From years (really), I think we should have push to have paid more (before buyback) to enjoy the tax holiday! 
Comment by Talchior on Jan 20, 2023 7:17am
If we go a step further, I guess the cost are already paid. Meaning when the stock will be sold, the receive cash will be bigger. Also having stock can be good if the nickel price is increasing. 
Comment by ICNick on Jan 20, 2023 8:42am
This is an interesting point regarding the cost, because if the cost is already paid, the average cost per pound is higher than reality. It would be interesting to know how they account this, i.e. is the cost calculated on what is sold only or what is sold plus what is on hand. Personally I would think that the cost of what is on hand is only calculated when those inventories are sold, otherwise ...more  
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