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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum CGX Energy Inc V.OYL

Alternate Symbol(s):  CGXEF

CGX Energy Inc. is a Canada-based oil and gas exploration company. The Company is focused on the exploration of oil in the Guyana-Suriname Basin and the development of a deep-water port in the Berbice, Guyana. The Company holds interests in three petrol prospecting licenses, such as Corentyne, Berbice, and Demerara Blocks in the Guyana Basin. The Company has drilled two operated exploration... see more

TSXV:OYL - Post Discussion

CGX Energy Inc > Good Morning!
View:
Post by Dirksidetrack on Jan 01, 2022 6:35am

Good Morning!

Happy New Year! Regarding Kawa and oyl&fec valuations. Remember what Warren Buffet said: In the short term the market is a voting machine. In the long term it's a measuring machine.

So I hope that the voting is over where people make decisions based on whims, emotions and other intangibles. Hopefully we are now in the measuring phase where the current sp reflects a reasonable assesment of value based on measurable, verifiable information known so far.

As to value estimates the accounting equation says that shareholders equity = total assets minus liabilities. So sp should be approximately (shareholders equity) / (number of shares on a diluted shares basis). Total assets are the market value of all assets plus some people add a premium for what they call enterprise value or prospects for future revenue growth.

Enterprise value is referred to as an intangible asset. For example, back in the early 2000s Amazon was reporting net losses with high debt yet its sp kept on going up because Jeff Besos was growing Amazon's revenue by double digits every quarter. So the market assigned a high enterprise value to Amazon's therby increasing its total assets. For a given liabilities amount, increasing the total assets also increases the shareholder equity.

So any measurement of the value of oyl&fec needs to be able to assign a reasonable estimate to enterprise value. Hopefully the current sp reflects that with the information known so far. If that's the case, then they have a commercial well there. If it's not the case, then your guess is as good as mine as to why the sp is where it is.

I have zero info about the well. I can guess at operations based on very scant info from comments on this board. But ops info is not that useful in estimating value. The geological info is key. I highly doubt that many people know that info. Again, Happy New Year!

Comment by Miftee9 on Jan 01, 2022 10:36am
Dirk, you are close but not accurate.  Your basic equation of Assets =Liabilities + SH equity is correct.  Therefore Equity = Assets - liabilities.  So think of your house.  You bought the house for $1M and you borrowed $700k from the bank and therefore the equity you have in your house is $300,000. The concept of Enterprise Value is the Value of the Equity plus the value of ...more  
Comment by Dirksidetrack on Jan 01, 2022 11:32am
Yes Miftee9 it makes perfect sense and thanks for clarifying. I'm trying to get a handle on all of this present value, future value stuff and how people work it into their calculations. An obvious factor is the oil price, say, 2 years from now. Enterprise value would drop as oil price dropped. So many things to work into valuations. Thanks again!
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