Moving Closer To ProductionFrom Bobs earlier post, some things to consider. What may prove to be profound is the amount of privately held potash projects that could also be take over candidates.....the tsx juniors may have to wait in line for the hope of a take over in the future....Allanas goal should never to hope for a take over and
should always be to get to production as we will be one of the few that have a viable project....few others will have the ability to raise their $2 Billion Plus capital to get to production without the complete support or take over of major company, similar to Potash One....It is estimated that it costs $1 billion to drill the shaft in Sask....that equals the full cost of mine construction in Ethiopia...makes you think
Allana will soon have enough resources proved up to justify a mine. My ongoing calculations of resources will be updated and posted when we get the results of hole #7...stay tuned.
One step at a time, 5 more drill holes to complete, release of completed N1 Resource Report, confirmation of long term Debt Financing. We are on pace to be in production in 2013 and that is when we will appreciate the real value of this company.
400,000 tons KCL x $350 per ton = $140 million dollars / 200 million shares = .70 cents per share x
20 time Enterprise Value/Net Operating Income =
$14.00 per share when in production - Based on Industry Norm
Only a few will get to production so in my oppinion put your money on the "best in class"
Anderson believes potash exploration companies with viable projects won't face capital constraints any time soon, as investors are willing to throw financing at projects in the development stage for now. But this could change.
"It is quite unlikely that all of these projects are going to get developed in the next five years," Anderson said. "There are going to be some winners and there are going to be some losers."
WHO'S NEXT
In addition to the potash exploration companies listed on the TSX there are dozens of privately held greenfield potash projects across the world. Many of these are at the same stage, if not ahead of rival projects owned by public companies, making them competing targets for acquisition.