Slope of hopeWhereas last week was favourable to the bulls (as I pointed out last weekend) with European optimism, this week the bears have a lot of advantages.
-Notice how for the last few days we are seeing these quick sharp rally attempts - this is bearish. It's a "slope of hope" situation on a short term basis. The hope fuels further downside.
-NDX - nasdaq underperforming now. This was not the case in all of Sept.
-Similarly both small caps RUT, and Financials have taken out the early Aug lows.
-Oct traditionally weak.
-My cycle work is bearish for this week.
-Etc..
So on a short term basis there is very likely some downside from here. However, I expect to see a bottom in the first half of Oct, and rally from there. Bears need to be nimble here imo.
SC