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Southern Pacific Resource Corp STPJF

Southern Pacific Resource Corp. is a Canada-based company, which is engaged in the thermal production of heavy oil in Senlac, Saskatchewan on a property known as STP-Senlac, and thermal production of bitumen on a property located in the Athabasca region of Alberta known as STP-McKay, as well as exploration for and development of in-situ oil sands in the Athabasca region of Alberta. Its STP-McKay property consists of oil sands leases totaling approximately 37,760 acres. The Company’s operations also include Anzac, Hangingstone and Ells. The Company’s STP-McKay property is located approximately 45 kilometers northwest Ft. McMurray. The Anzac project covers approximately 117 kilometers of two-dimensional (2D) seismic. The Company owns 80% interest in Hangingstone project. The Ells project covers approximately 164 kilometers of two-dimensional (2D) seismic.


GREY:STPJF - Post by User

Comment by Eyeinvestoron May 08, 2014 10:44am
375 Views
Post# 22538430

RE:RE:What's next?

RE:RE:What's next?
Much less insight on what pad 1 is capable of. I have always argued that Pad 1 is less important in valuing STP. But STP is right to see how ICDs help control this challenging pad. 184 out of 1P5 on average for March is interesting. The early March news release mentioned 2x fluid compared to January and February's 50 bbd. This means that March STARTED at 100 bbd but AVERAGED 184 bbd. So the second half of March was considerably better than 184 bbd. .................................................................................................................... I am surprised there were no questions on that...but if there had been I suspect company would have ducked them, because I think that it is probably very unstable and jumping around. When you take a well that is barely pushing out 50 bbd and increase production by 3.7x......the volume is going to be up and down. But bottom line, it is better than EYE expected. .......................................................... Still the strategic investors will be more interested in how pad 2 ICDs do. If pad 1 does well, that is cream on top, .......................................................... Cash burn ($4.5 million)is lower than eye figured it would be. They have $60 million in the bank. $28 million goes on ICDs and Senlac. (Did anyone else notice that Senlac is cheaper than the brokers were forecasting?) So they have $30 million of runway. How long is that runway? To be conservative, take the $4.5 million per quarter and add the additional interest (about $2.5 per quarter) gives 4 quarters to improve production to cash flow break even. Plenty of time. My bet is strategic deal gets done before then.
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