GREY:CRIUF - Post by User
Post by
Bluefin646on Jun 10, 2015 8:00am
98 Views
Post# 23814653
Clarify a few points.......
Clarify a few points.......Scotia was on the cover as one of the lead investment banks for the spot secondary, thus they have a 'blackout period' from publishing on the name. Is, no reports, updates, price changes, up/down grades until the stock goes off the restricted list, internally. Most likely a week or two after July 2nd.
This is is not a typical secondary, why? It does not dilute current unit holders.
How is that possible, the float increased by 59%? Because unit holders only held 26.7% prior to the deal AND those private shares were already receiving dividends, actually the same dividends as unit holders. So although private holders received cash, and the float increased, a unit holders % ownership did not change, nor did the financial impact of dividends change. Thus, the only substantial change was float and public market cap.
Why is stock moving up? Over-subscribed. This is the most important item of all. The secondary was up-sized, which means there was demand for more stock by buyers. This is a massive positive. Does not mean we are going straight to $9-10 level, but it does mean in the low to mid $7s that there are very large buyers. Huge support for the stock.
Stock needs to digest the recent volumes. Will take a few weeks of boring, sideways action. Any hint of good news and we are back above $8. Another solid-strong qtr, and we are in the mid-8s.
Now, if I could just get the usd to come in a bit........