GREY:VITFF - Post by User
Comment by
NickelOneon Nov 02, 2019 2:33pm
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Post# 30301216
RE:RE:RE:Thoughts on early Mayo cold snap? My guess is it's
RE:RE:RE:Thoughts on early Mayo cold snap? My guess is it's PulpCutter wrote: Curious what your numbers are, behind your calculation that "no way they are pushing 2k/oz week"?
Leech dynamics have 80% reporting in 45 days (43-101, backed by McConnell's recent Denver comments).
As of the Oct 9 press report, 1.1M T of ore had been stacked on the pad, and stacking has continued at 35k tonne/day.
The mine plan has the early ore less-rich than steady-state, starting at 0.49 g/t and ending the first year at 0.75 g/t, so for calculations assume 0.5 g/t.
Lowest I can come up with is 1500 oz/day, and that ignores anything stacked after 10/9. Where do you get "no way they are pushing 2000/day"?
Some of the ore they put on the pad this year is low grade ROM ore - the recoveries for the ROM ore are a big unknown at this time (definitely lower than the 6.3 mm crushed ore). I would be very, very pleased to see gold pours north of 2,000 oz/week. I estimate they will reach 2,700 oz/week for year one (based on their projections), but they are far from steady state commercial production. I am open and hopeful on positive news, but I have to be conservative, based on experience.
I guess we will find out soon, eh?