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Nemaska Lithium Inc NMKEF

Nemaska Lithium Inc is a Canada based lithium company. It is engaged in exploring and evaluating lithium properties and processing of spodumene into lithium compounds in Quebec, Canada. The company supplies lithium hydroxide and lithium carbonate to the lithium battery industry used in electric vehicles, cell phones, tablets, and other consumer products.


GREY:NMKEF - Post by User

Comment by Tiger737373on Jun 12, 2020 5:53pm
109 Views
Post# 31145289

RE:RE:RE:Creditor Claim Outcome

RE:RE:RE:Creditor Claim OutcomeHello Takeaction, I have always agreed with your vision on Nemaska, However, on the CCAA file, i do not agree with you on the remaining value for shareholders in the event of a sale. Although the project is evaluated at 2.2 billion after taxes, i doubt that a new owner will give the right price to aquire Nemaska because he will have to put a considerable sum ( 1 billion and maybe more ) to complete the project and the mine.

You know  that Nemaska project has enormous potential, 37 000 tons of battery-quality lithium hydroxide are planned. Hydroxide is currently sold at $ 12 500 per ton. I am not talking about the increase in demand as well as the price, wich should increase over next few years. i am not talking about the possibility of an increase in the Shawinigan plant ( phase 3, 60 000 tons by year ). Or What  i mean is that a stock market recapitalization would be preferable in my opinion, unlike a buyout

You know, the potential new investor could own more than 70 % of the business with a new share issue at a reasonable price of 50 cents per share. In addition, this investor would have the assurance of doubling its market capitalization with a major investment of 2 billion shares. With an investment at a reasonable price, the former shareholders who financed the project have the assurance of recovering their initial participation.

You know i am talking about a new 100 % equity financing scenario. Let's imagine a scenario  with another bond deal, but this time with a better interest rate and of course with a Quebec lessor to avoid the catastrophic scenario of the past few months.

As you know, there are simplistic ratios for valuing a publicly traded secuirity. The mining ratio by its peers is to multiply by 10 the net benefits

Here is an example of refinancing at 50 cents per share / 100% equity financing

1 billion to 50 cents = 2 billion shares

847 million shares + 2 billion new shares = 2 847 000 000 shares

12 500 $ sales prices of hydroxide per ton

4 100 $ cost for hydroxide per ton

12 500 $ - 4 100 $ = 8 400 $ net benefits per ton

37 000 tons x 8 400 $ = 310 800 000 $ annual net benefits.

310 800 000 $  x 10 = 3 108 000 000 $ market capitalization

3 108 000 000 / 2 847 000 000 shares out = 1. 09 $ per share

As you know, a new market capitalization would be better than a sale. Better return on investment in my opinion.

GLTA longs
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