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Teal Valley T.TV


Primary Symbol: P.TEAL

Teal is a Canadian, pharmaceutical & NHP manufacturer selling to Canada’s national, chain drug stores, presently expanding its portfolio to include cannabinoid-based products utilizing proprietary formulations & extractions for both the global Rx & recreational markets.


P.TEAL - Post by User

Post by AlfTanneron Dec 18, 2020 10:28am
181 Views
Post# 32139498

The problem with long term hedges

The problem with long term hedges
The problem with long term hedges is that every quarter zinc goes up, Trevali will have to take a loss on the hedges, eating into profit for the current quarter.  For example, if Trevali makes $.10 per pound of zinc mined in Q4, that would be great, right?  But wait, 25% of production was hedged for all of 2021 at $1.23.  If zinc ends the quarter at $1.33, that is a loss of $.10 for every pound hedged, which will equal 1 full quarter's worth of production.  The loss on the hedge would cancel out all the profit for the quarter.
 
Like I said, I completely agree with hedging through Q1-20 because it eliminated risk.  The hedging in Q2-20 through Q4-20 was unnecessary.
 
I also agree with hedging all of Caribou’s production if it is reopened.  Caribou is just too high cost and risky to run without hedging.
 
The key to hedging is being SMART about it.  Our bone headed management has not proven to be smart at all.  They just printed 243 MILLION SHARES for goodness sake!  How can anyone defend that?  They flushed 30% of our stock value down the toilet with unnecessary dilution.  The company survived the crash in zinc only to dilute when zinc was in recovery mode.
 
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