TSX:REI.UN - Post by User
Comment by
CANCDNon Dec 22, 2020 1:59pm
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Post# 32162047
RE:RE:THE BIG SHORT
RE:RE:THE BIG SHORTYup and people are stupid if they believe that. Mutations dont cause a 95% effective vaccine to go to 0%. In fact, the mutation (this is #21 by the way that is being tested against the vaccine) is JUST as likely to INCREASE efficacy as it is to decrease efficacy. Its not an all or nothing proposition. It might come back that the vaccine is 5% LESS effective , or it could be 5% MORE effective (unlikely 100%).
Keep shorting.
not one crediable vaccinologist actually believes this will affect the vaccine what so ever. all 20+ previous mutations are easily managed by the vaccine. Will mRNA vaccine manufacture slightly adjusted formula,,, possibily, but same happens every year with flu vaccines, and those are only 60% effective at best.
Keep up the panic porn
BlueGuitar1 wrote: Only a fool ignores "thenewsnake". He has some good insights.
Concerning what he just said, the mutation is in the receptor binding location which could be very bad for the new vaccines. Specifically it is the animo-acid in the 501 position and has changed from Asparagine (N) to Tyrosine (Y). The mutation is therefore called N501Y, or N to Y in position 501. If there is another mutation near this position, the new vaccine probably will not work. This mutation is in Brazil, Australia, UK, Denmark, and Netherlands now. It is probably in Canada. I will still say that we will have a tough next 6 months. The vaccine will not help in the first and second quarters.
Hope that helps a bit in making your own financial decisions. Do your own DD.
thenewsnake wrote:
Is definitely on this turd- drifting lower by the second. Watch a headline come out "vaccine proven not to be effective against new strain" and BAM just like that we're down an additional 20%!!!!!!!!!!!!