RE:RE:FTN unit NAV jumps to $22 to OCT 15PileOfShit wrote: mouserman wrote: FTN now has gained 68 cents since the sept 30 update
We can now judge the accuracy of mouserman's Oct 15 prediction of the Oct 15 NAV. Change estimate: 68¢. Actual: 48¢. Verdict: missed by 20¢. (Class A NAV estimate: 11.51 + 0.68 = 12.19. Actual: 11.99.)
Mouserman (I don't know if his name should be capitalized at the start of a sentence) should be commended for his valiant effort. Why was his estimate 20¢ over? I suspect he could not account for the fund's sold call options, which carry
negative delta, and they're a capital gains dampener; i.e. they are negative for NAV if the underlying stocks rally, and positive for NAV if the underlying stocks tank.
POS please clarify I have FTN nav 11.32 on sep 30 so mouserman est. is out by a penny. Great analysis of a nonevent, better luck next time.