RE:RE:RE:RE:valuation... Not disputing your numbers (homework well done) but it's worthwhile pointing out that 2021 numbers reflect badly timed hedging which probably subtracted about USD$30MM from the bottom line. With most of the hedging gone in 3 weeks, at $1.50/lb Zn Trevali's current operations should be generating about $60MM cash after expenses and capex. Their enterprise value (market cap plus net debt) is roughly 3X that. Is this cheap enough for the risk? It's the matter of personal risk tolerance. It's cheap enough for me so I'm buying during this tax loss silly season.
In fairness, even great mining companies like BHP are trading at crazy low EV/EBITDA valuations for current metals prices. Either we'll have a serious deflation or these companies will be going much higher. I lean towards the latter. JMHO and GLTA.