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Kelt Exploration Ltd T.KEL

Alternate Symbol(s):  KELTF

Kelt Exploration Ltd oil and gas company. The Company is focused on the exploration, development and production of crude oil and natural gas resources in northwestern Alberta and northeastern British Columbia. The Company's assets are comprised of three operating divisions: Wembley/Pipestone in Alberta; Pouce Coupe/Progress/Spirit River in Alberta, and Oak/Flatrock in British Columbia. The Company’s British Columbia assets are operated by Kelt Exploration (LNG) Ltd., a wholly owned subsidiary of the Company.


TSX:KEL - Post by User

Post by PabloLafortuneon Mar 15, 2022 12:14pm
225 Views
Post# 34515363

6 reasons why IMO Kelt is best kept secret in small cap E&P

6 reasons why IMO Kelt is best kept secret in small cap E&P#1, debt free - lowest leverage among peers (by far). Safer during downturns (not beholden to lenders). Less volatile share price during commodity price drops. Able to seize opportunities as they come along. 

#2 lowest EV/cashflow ratio among peers. More profitable at a given oil % mix than its peers.

#3 increasing liquids mix which translates to better netbacks ($2.25 for every $7 WTI increase or decrease). Q4 was 25% oil, my guess based on wells being brought on line is that Q4 '22 will be 30%. Longer term 33% perhaps? Which I guess means $30 adjusted netback at around $70 WTI. Best upside among peers.

#4 lowest production to Montney land among peers. More room to grow and likely more inventory of top tier locations (an important metric in Los Estados Unidos). 

#5 Fastest Growing production - 50% for 2022 (YoY and Q4 over Q4 my guess) among peers. With significant free cashflow at strip (assuming capex budget remains at $250M - based on 2021, it won't though).

#6 Fastest Growing reserves among peers - my guess is they add 34M in PDP reserves in 2022 and will consume 11.3M. If capex budget is increased in the same fashion as 2021, PDP reserves will grow even more especially that % spent on infrastructure is decreasing (latest $40M capex increase was pretty much all D&C).

GLTA.
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