Today the latest SPR releases came out. What people HAVE to understand is the reserves are being drawn down at a far faster rate than most expect. The reason is the Sweet/Sour difference in both demand and reserves. Don't forget the US produces a ton of sweet crude, but the refineries have been designed to process a good amount of heavy sour.
So what are the latest numbers?-sweet:233 & Sour: 251.
In the past two weeks, 93+% of all crude from the SPR released was sour. If this level of releases continues in TWENTY weeks (Nov. 1) the following will be in SPR:
This level of sour reserves is very dangerous. Every 20 weeks we are drawing 110 of sour crude. Does anybody think that the Admin is going to stop all SPR sales in November? Let's say they continue. By the end of the year, we all have 30 !?!?! sour crude in SPR.
Yes ONLY 30mb of sour crude in SPR.
If ANYTHING happens we have zero sour crude in SPR.
This is a real danger for any ME event to cause us to have insane oil prices. The Biden admin. is putting the country in a dangerous position.
Lastly, legally the Admin HAS to buy back all this crude. When will the crude market ever have this much sour crude to add to the SPR? Or even sweet crude? They are drawing down reserves at an insane pace to keep oil prices down. But just before Nov, the party will end. This cannot mathematically continue.