The year aheadThe year ahead has the potential to see the company and stock rise substancially.
Obviously it can remain stagnant and drop further as well.
The good:
- The company is set to bring their two sources of income (two oil wells) back online after completing facility optimizing work which will apparently reduce operating costs by around 50%.
- Their verified commercial ready 1.3% helium content well has apparently doubled in value from 15m to 30m since the last valuation with the HE pricing seemingly continuing to increase.
- The stock price has been supreamly battered leading to a current price almost at a level before all the last year advancements included added more land, compleating more 3D surveying as well as the mentioned point above.
- Canada has included HE as a critical element important to our security as well as economic and green future. So the potential for support for this young industry is there.
The bad:
- While it sounds like their two wells should be online soon. If there is a hiccup or delay in this. It will not be good for them. While they are currently the only HE player in Canada generating a meaningfull amount of revenue, obviously if they can't get these going again as they have updated on. It will be an issue.
- While their 15-25 well is ready to have the facility work completed they need to procure an offtake agreement to find reasonable financing. This needs to happen this year, and sooner rather than later. If they can't get this done in 2023 then IMO their chances will drastically reduce of becoming a major player in the space
- Management had a great first half of 2022 and followed it up with lack luster performance IMO. While they've apparently managed to generate income, increase assets, and maintain little to no debt, they did conduct a PP recently which possibly could have been avoided with better mangement over the last 6 months.
- The macroeconomic environment is murky at best with recession likely in manys view. These have caused headwinds and have likely already resulted in the current battered stock price.
IMO this is a long-term hold with a big potential for very good returns at the current stock price. It is a very new and speculative Canadian industry but the global market is legitimately there and growing in demand with many past supply sources either dwindling or unreliable (Russia).
Note: I'm not trying to "pump" this stock.
I'm invested and have been invested for awhile.
If I felt the negatives outweighed the positives or the overall potential did not remain medium to longer term I would not remain invested.