RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:Non-Opec Supply Muddles Bull Case for Oil Matt, did you see what happened to Canada after Tiff Macklem paused?
Real estate prices went through the roof. Gdp in Q1 came in at 3.1%. In other words, inflation had become entrenched. This is what happens when you pause and the data suggests you're not even close to neutral let alone restrictive.
I believe Jerome Powell recognizes this but that Tiff has taken a more cautious approach due to higher debt levels in Canada. It does not help the inflation fight when the major banks are allowing homeowners to negative amortize on their mortgage. They are just delaying the inevitable as they will have to renew terms at some point and there's no escaping that.