management better not lowball production estimates for next yearl They have 18,900 bopd on their latest presentatoin, which is realistic if the field is actually capable of producing 22,000 without shipping constraints. And with another 5-6000 to go on top of the 10-11,000 during the 4 months of the dry season, you are talking 16-17,000 during the bad times.
Yet instead of best guess-I have a feeling they will lowball it and leave those who look at their presentation high and dry. Guide for 18,900 you don't hit it, you don't hit it.. But don't badly low ball it and act like heros if you perform as expected. At 75 dollar brent, we need to see 18,000 plus to support 10 cent US of dividends.