Scotiabank The strategy team at Scotiabank uncovered a change in investor tax harvesting,
“The June 25 deadline for the implementation of the new capital gains tax in Canada is approaching quickly. As a reminder, capital gains in excess of C$250,000 will use an inclusion rate of 67% instead of 50% when applying the marginal tax rate. High-net-worth Canadians could thus potentially generate tax savings by engaging in an early tax loss harvesting strategy ahead of the deadline ... However, Canadian YTD stock winners (YTD to May) have generated unusual losses in June. Meanwhile, YTD losers are also suffering more than the benchmark. In our view, selling pressure on both winners (capital gains) and losers (capital losses) could be interpreted as tax loss harvesting to lock in, and limit, any net taxable gains at the 50% inclusion level while resetting the cost basis of the investment ... Proceeds from tax loss harvesting need to be reinvested, often in correlated names/ETFs … Our previous work on the subject highlighted that names which see tax loss harvesting in December typically enjoy a recovery in the next two months”
The team listed Veren Inc., Nexgen Energy Ltd., Cenovus Energy Inc., Tourmaline Oil, Advantage Oil and Gas Ltd., Peyto Exploration and Development Corp., Methanex Corp., Magna International, Ivanhoe Mines Ltd., Teck Resources Ltd., Linamar Corp., Brookfield Corp., Intact Financial Corp. and Converge Technologies Solutions as potential bounceback candidates.