RE:RE:The power of being contrarianYa my comment was specific to DFN, not about the banks and which I own (FFN prefs, BK). Markets could very well pull back 5-10% any time and we'd still be ok... just a well needed correction. DFN, on the other hand, would not fare well in ANY correction now. That's why I say this one is a gamble now every month.
btw, I do recall seeing you on the BBD board. Nice to hear of another conviction story.
marcrobert wrote: "the storm here has yet to arrive" - i hope you're wrong. banks have been pummeled some below 2019 levels. I sounded the alarm and started selling when they were 40% above pre-covid levels for no good reason and started buying back heavily last fall, but the bottom of the pendulum should be pretty close, unless whole economy unravels. The mortgage reset is progressive, peaks next year then the provisions should come down to the bottom line, and if rates come down more it will drive more origination.
As for bbd, i own it, painful decade, in the profit zone... as usual i (and probably most shareholders) worry it will be able to sustain this level, and because the canadian options market is so inefficient, I am selling 2025 covered $100 calls (like yesterday, today even better) and if it sells off at earnings or for any other reason like it usually does, i'll buy back. I've done this several times, with 50% gain in a matter of a month or so...