TSX:AX.PR.E - Post by User
Post by
garyreinson Aug 13, 2024 10:32pm
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Post# 36177805
THE BOND MARKET IS EXPECTING NICE CUTS GOING INTO 2025
THE BOND MARKET IS EXPECTING NICE CUTS GOING INTO 2025https://www.marketwatch.com/story/traders-see-big-drop-in-interest-rates-into-2025-at-risk-of-underestimating-inflation-32dcffaa?&mod=home-page
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Tuesday’s milder-than-expected reading on producer prices in July was translating into fading concerns about inflation by many market participants and reinforcing traders’ expectations for multiple rate cuts from the Federal Reserve into mid-2025. Fed-funds futures traders were gravitating toward the likelihood of two full percentage points of reductions in interest rates by July of next year, which would take the Fed’s main interest-rate target down to around 3.25% to 3.5%, from a current level between 5.25% and 5.5%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. That would be after factoring in a 54.5% chance of a bigger-than-normal, half-percentage-point rate cut by the Fed’s next policy announcement on Sept. 18, as well as additional easing by year-end. In other words, traders were back to the multiple-rate-cut view they held at the start of the year, only this time around based on concerns about an economic slowdown or recession that seem to outweigh inflation worries. The trouble is that cutting interest rates this many times would imply policymakers are confident they won’t reignite inflation all over again."
BUT LET ME GUESS, BIG BAD INFLATION PRINTS ARE GOING TO COME EVERY FEW MONTHS THROWING COLD WATER ON THIS. GOTTA HOLD THAT CPI UNDER A MICROSCOPE AND MAKE SURE ITS ACCEPTABLE TO THE FED.
Meanwhile life goes on and other than gas and groceris and insurance most dont care or notice
What a JOKE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!