Other BO considerations I've posted before about buyout ranges, but while we've been waiting, I've kept updating the information I've given AI to be more accurate. One thing I'm now unclear about after thinking on the math is, do the 2024 drilling results actually add to the 12.5M estimated gold ounces from IMG (AI predicted 16M gold ounces with 2024 results)? Given the use of AI for 3D modelling, it's possible the estimate used those predictions and the ~10M estimated inferred gold ounces already took into account future drilling results. In that case, the 2024 results would just move inferred to indicated gold ounces. Still increases value a lot, but doesn't necessarily add onto the already hefty 12.5M estimated gold ounces on the Ishkoday.
I've also looked into USCG and their accomplishments. Their highest publicly disclosed transaction they've facilitated is for $500M USD. Their lack of experience orchestrating a multi-billion dollar all-cash buyout was predicted to be a significant challenge by AI. The all-cash buyout is going to pose a difficult problem to get to $2B+ because the upfront capital increases the risk investors take. It would take a well-coordinated approach to attract multiple investors with deep pockets...
I wondered how this might be plausible and remembered the Metals House partnership. This has been discussed before, but USCG raised capital for Metals House in 2019 and a few months later, Metals House partnered with LME. Shortly after that, Burmi and Covello join the Board. In 2023, they hire USCG. Once USCG completed their due diligence to be able to better "showcase" LME, they potentially started using their connections with/through Metals House in the UAE region to secure funding from deep-pocketed investors. We also know that IMG will keep the partnership with Metals House to process the stockpile. So, Metals House has a vested interest in having LME go private.
I'm not sure where things are at in terms of raising and reaching their targeted amount. But we should all be extremely confident they have the pieces necessary to get somewhere between $5 and $10 USD, or a $10+ CAD per share buyout.
I understand it's tough to wait out these long, cold winter months for a buyout. I know people have lost confidence in management. It's easy to get into your own head about the SP and its movement. But at some point while this current Board has been in place, they've been moving towards this (most likely) outcome. All the signs point us to one path and the available information indicates we are almost at our destination.