Comment by
bbarberayr on Mar 26, 2013 10:04am
I don't think that is correct. Every other time they didn't have enough votes, they postponed before the meetings. The fact tht5a they are going ahead implies that they do. More likely just some arb guys playing a long/short position between PCE and AVF to capture the spread.
Comment by
rad10 on Mar 26, 2013 10:18am
Au Contraire 2,12 x 0.18 = 0.39 which is where CHX is heading.
Comment by
bbarberayr on Mar 26, 2013 10:42am
So, if you believe the deal happens, you can make an easy 15% by tomorrow. Downside I'd guess is, say, $0.24 or 30%.
Comment by
trismigistus on Mar 26, 2013 10:48am
I would expect CHX shares to jump to .60 cents, or more on approval of the merger. AVX $3.30 Pace to $4.25 I agree with the down side though.
Comment by
bigbank91 on Mar 26, 2013 10:54am
looks like chx is ready to make a move up. but its all speculation at this point until the meetings i would think. maybe there making there decision on body language at the meeting . nobody is kicking trash cans. lol
Comment by
trismigistus on Mar 26, 2013 10:59am
I diagree Rad. What you have is a failed merger from February and a bunch of negative news by Nova Bancorp priced into the market. I am of the firm opinion that word of merger approval will price the stocks based on the monthly dividend and that will be a minimum of $3 per share for Spyglass which would be .54 minimum for Charger and $3.90 for Pace.
Comment by
rad10 on Mar 26, 2013 11:08am
I hope you are right Tris even though you have scaled things back 10% - I have a lot of kids to feed!
Comment by
jjeerryy on Mar 26, 2013 11:10am
bbarberayr, you posted: "More likely just some arb guys playing a long/short position between PCE and AVF to capture the spread. Read more at https://www.stockhouse.com/bullboards/messagedetail.aspx?s=AVF&t=LIST&m=32377495&l=0&pd=2&r=0#Z79RKyFExetevzB6.99" I agree completely. I doubt we'll know any results before 1 or 2 PM ET.
Comment by
trismigistus on Mar 26, 2013 11:13am
Merger approval could actually see a short lived $5 pop for the Pace shares and close to it for AVF. That could mean .90 for Charger shares. Hype has a way of creating irrational price jumps.
Comment by
linus4 on Mar 26, 2013 11:30am
Now I know for sure you are dreaming...There is no way the mkt will see $5.00 on PCE or AVX !! Also, .90 on CHX is past being wishful thinking..Maybe a big move to $2.70 would be more realistic...The black cloud or uncertainty surrounding this management group won't get a mkt premium..
Comment by
trismigistus on Mar 26, 2013 11:32am
Linus5 ??? Have you looked at the charts for Pace and Avenex. Both have seen $5 pops in the past year. I never suggested the market would see that valuation; merely that it is possible that hype could cause a short pop to those levels before retracing.
Comment by
pennydredful on Mar 26, 2013 11:33am
Thats right . No matter what the vote expect diddly squat .
Comment by
linus4 on Mar 26, 2013 11:36am
It is also 'possible' the DOW could hit 18,0000 by Fri.., BUT not likely...
Comment by
trismigistus on Mar 26, 2013 11:37am
Penny; your negativity is absurd to the level of hyperbole on the enitre subject matter involving these companies. It is beyond me how you actually own any shares in any of them. Are you shorting? Be honest.
Comment by
trismigistus on Mar 26, 2013 11:45am
I never said it was likely; merely possible, but possible in a way that is not beyond unreasonable.