Post by
ATLEVAN on May 28, 2018 12:54pm
Maiden NI43-101 resource calculation
Anyone want to take a crack on the size NI43-101 that will be released considering the deposit found so far:
1.7Km in lenght, 1.2Km in width and over 150m in thickness.
Comment by
Austrian007 on May 28, 2018 8:11pm
I am totally totally new to this type of calc... but lets see. The volume is 1700 * 1200 *150 cu metre. density - lets assume 2 t/cu metre So raw material in Mt is - 600 Mt. If 3000 ppm - then Lithium available would be about 2Mt.
Comment by
Austrian007 on May 28, 2018 9:47pm
Not sure if ppm refers to volume... possibly yes... In which case it would be 1700 * 1200 * 150 m3 - 300 M cu m 3000 ppm would mean 1 M cu m of Lithium Lithium is the lightest metal with a density of 0.5 g/cm3.... so the above would be 0.5MT I think the above 0.5Mt rather than 2 MT is more likely to be correct.
Comment by
Wever1974 on May 28, 2018 10:18pm
I think it best left to professionals. Thickness varies quite s but as does high grade. 43101 coming soon enough .In the meantime just enjoy the ride. Should see $1.50 near term if we get a break with meaningful volume. .
Comment by
agoober on May 30, 2018 10:18am
I'm sorry but your calcultation are all very, very wrong. you've understated the resources by about 8 million tonnes of lithium. i suggest talking to Ian Stalker before you break out your calculator again. We are looking at a number that is closer to 10 MILLION TONNES OF LITHIUM CARBONATE.
Comment by
Austinvrabel on May 30, 2018 11:34am
HI there, Just curious, how much does this 10 Million tonnes of lithium compare to other small cap companies inventory? What would those companies market cap be?
Comment by
Austrian007 on May 30, 2018 11:26pm
If this is anywhere close to reality, we should be looking at a M.Cap of PLU close to $100B range.. A 1Mtpa production and a net margin of $5000/t would put the profits at $5B... So we have wait with fingers crossed on the resource numbers and metallurgy / flow sheets to be finalized. Cheers,
Comment by
Y93H1979 on May 30, 2018 11:56pm
Oh Sorry, when I said 11mtpa I meant that was the rate at which the ore can be mined, not final saleable product. 11 mtpa mined ore, with a Li2O grade of 0.7% gives you 77,000 tones LiO2, x 2.4 gives you 184,800 tonnes LiCO3. That's IF the processing is capable of keeping up with 11 mtpa ore
Comment by
BigBull94 on May 30, 2018 11:59pm
So what you're saying is PLU is still EXTREMELY undervalued?
Comment by
Austrian007 on May 31, 2018 2:30am
oh... so 0.2 Mt of LiCO3 at 5000 margins... so 1B net... which is still very undervalued. Whats the output for some of the large lithium plays these days? Cheers,
Comment by
Austrian007 on May 31, 2018 6:45am
That was not NPV... just cash flows/year assuming production of 1Mt of Li ore (200,000 t of LiCo3) at margins of 5000/t. I presume M.Cap would be between 10-20 B depending on the mood of the market. Uranium may not be as big a story... at best 5MOz/a at a margin of $20 perhaps at that time... so almost a rounding of error in some sense. Cheers,
Comment by
Austinvrabel on May 31, 2018 12:20pm
If we take a conservative approach with these estimates, we are looking at ~$1B market cap. With 69.5M Shares outstanding, this gives us a projected share price of $14.39. Which from our current levels of $1.00/share would be a 1300% return. Not bad to say the least! Could even be higher if we aren't using conservative estimates.
Comment by
Austrian007 on May 31, 2018 10:39pm
Broke thru 1.00 rather easily on a not so good day for the other stocks. I am now fairly sure that when the NI 43-101 comes out later this month, we should easily see a doubling. & I think we should use 78M shares as all options and warrants would be converted if trends continue... But Yes, we can expect fantastic returns in the next 2-3 years leading upto production. Cheers,
Comment by
Wever1974 on Jun 01, 2018 2:44am
Sp should see $1.5 prior to release of 43101 minor resistance at $1.25 area abit stiffer at $1.50 a triple from here still has a MC under $200m wayyyy undervalued .