Post by
DZtrader on Jul 17, 2024 10:31pm
In the "YIKES" department........
A tweet from Rosie (David Rosenberg)
If you were rubbing your eyes as I was over that retail sales report, I think I found the answer. A very generous seasonal adjustment factor was at play. The raw NSA data actually showed retail sales plunging -5.6% MoM in June, the worst drubbing in a decade and tied for the steepest plunge since the series began in 1992! Lies, damned lies, and statistics.
Comment by
garyreins on Jul 17, 2024 10:37pm
"Sorry, folks. No soft landing. On track for 3 straight quarters of declines in real retail sales alongside 2 successive negative production numbers. Only happens in recessions." Jan 2023...
Comment by
Torontojay on Jul 17, 2024 10:39pm
It's not looking good out there no matter which way you slice it. It's a bifurcated economy with winners and losers with Main Street diverging from Wall Street.