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Condor Gold Ord Shs T.COG

Alternate Symbol(s):  CNDGF

Condor Gold plc is a United Kingdom-based company, which is a gold exploration and development company with a focus on Nicaragua. The Nicaragua projects include La India, Estrella, and Rio Luna. The Company’s principal asset is La India Project, Nicaragua, which comprises a prospective land package of 588 sq km (square kilometers) comprising 12 contiguous and adjacent concessions. The Estrella Concession covers an area of 18 square kilometer over the Estrella Gold Mine, located approximately 20 kilometers southwest of Siuna. The Rio Luna is an exploration project, which includes a concession, covering an area of approximately 43 square kilometer in the Central Highlands of Nicaragua. The Company has environmental permits for the Mestiza and America open pits respectively, both located close to La India. The Mestiza open pit hosts 92 Kt at a grade of 12.1 g/t gold. The America open pit hosts 114 Kt at a grade of 8.1 g/t gold.


TSX:COG - Post by User

Post by nozzpackon Jul 24, 2023 7:44pm
240 Views
Post# 35555111

At least $300 m CAD up to $500 m cad

At least $300 m CAD up to $500 m cadThere are three options here all of which will be cash cows extraordinaire .

y.

The 2022 FS replaces the previously reported Preliminary Economic Assessment ("PEA") as presented in the Technical Report filed on SEDAR in October 2021 as the current technical report for the La India project.

The strategic study covers two scenarios: Scenario A, in which the mining is undertaken from four open pits, termed La India, America, Mestiza and Central Breccia Zone ("CBZ"), which targets a plant feed rate of 1.225 million tonnes per annum ("Mtpa");

The 2021 PEA Scenario A presented a post-tax, post upfront capital expenditure NPV of US$302 million, with an IRR of 58% and 12 month pay-back period, assuming a US$1,700 per oz gold price, with average annual production of approximately 120,000 oz gold per annum for the initial 6 years of gold production.

So Scenario A in C$ is valued at $390 million 

The 2021 PEA Scenario B presented a post-tax, post upfront capital expenditure NPV of US$418 million, with an IRR of 54% and 12 month pay-back period, assuming a US$1,700 per oz gold price, with average annual production of 150,000 oz gold per annum for the initial 9 years of gold production.

So, Scenario B is valued at $535 m in C$.

At $1900 POG, Scenario A would be above $500 m and Scenario B over $700 million.

Scenario C is the fall back option.

They have purchased a fully operatiinal SAG mill capable of 1200 tons per day which is about 400,000 tons per year .

This would produce about 50,000 ounces per year .

CXB had excess milling capacity of 1200 tons per day which can be used to toll mill 50,000 ounces per year for many many years.

Such high grades would have a AISC less than $700 usd per ounce at $1700;POG which is about $1000 usd per ounce in operating earnings per year and equivalent to about $50 million USD in operating earnings or about $0.35 per share in earnings .

So, one would expect that CXB which is already mining gold in Nicaragua is the front runner but the competition will be fierce .

Thats why I foresee $250 m USD which is  $329 m CAD as the base takeover price..


 

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