Post by
flamingogold on Jun 25, 2024 10:40am
Damned if they do. Damned if they don't.
Today's inflation uptick number puts the BoC in an even more difficult position. A July cut now seems more unlikely. However, fiscal policy works very slowly. It's too soon for last month's cut to have worked itself into the economy. Personally, I believe this latest uptick is just an anomaly. There are definitely signs of weakness especially real estate which is the biggest contributor to the Canadian economy.
As the summer rolls on, we will likely see continued softness and without further cuts we may wake up one day to a surprisingly low print close to 2%. On the surface, that will look like a win since it is the BoC's target. But, on the other hand, it may look like we are slowing too fast, heading for a recession and falling behind the curve.
So, damined if they do cut and cause inflation to spike even higher. Or, damned if they don't cut and face recession worries. Up to now Tiff has been a CB leader. If he doesn't cut in July he will need to wait until September. If May's data is an anaomaly, then he may be facing a recession scenario by September. It I were Tiff, I would cut in july. We are still under 3% inflation. The risk of cutting outweighs the risk of pausing.
Comment by
stickbot on Jun 25, 2024 1:17pm
National debt 2016 was 612 Billion, National debt 2024 1.23 Trillion; the true root of all the inflation, money printing 2x national debt by Freeland/Trudeau/BOC.
Comment by
stickbot on Jun 25, 2024 1:45pm
The pandemic money printing was just the cherry ontop, the debt was well on it way to double running up to Dec 2019, debt was at 765 Billion. The pandemic was mishandled, economist warned everyone, the liberals followed the rest of the G7 and damaged the economy. The banks are the real winners, inflation is debt slavery, the future has been stolen from all generations going forward.
Comment by
mouserman on Jun 26, 2024 9:53am
DFN heading lower... as the markets pull again. Going to be very volatile with the general direction down.