TSX:ERE.UN - Post Discussion
Post by
retiredcf on May 05, 2021 12:06pm
TD
Currently have a $5.50 target. GLTA
European Residential REIT
(ERE.UN-V) C$4.30
Q1/21 First Look: Results In Line; ~13% Rent Uplifts on Turnover
Event
Q1/21 results.
Impact: NEUTRAL
FFO/unit (f.d.) of €0.036 was +9% versus Q1/20, and largely in line with our €0.035 estimate. AFFO/unit of €0.032 compares with our €0.031 estimate.
A conference call will be held at 9:00 a.m. ET today (1-800-898-3989; passcode: 5247379#).
Residential Operating Highlights
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Q1 Stabilized NOI was +4.0% y/y on a 4.2% increase in revenues. We note that 93% of suites are now in the stabilized NOI calculation versus only 35% q/q. Stabilized residential net AMR was +3.9% y/y to €890, led by gains in in Randstad (+4.8%) and Netherlands North (+4.5%). Occupancy was stable y/y at 98.3%. Stabilized NOI margin was 10bps lower y/y to 75.3% while total portfolio NOI margin was stable y/y at 75.4%.
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Achieved 13.3% (7.9% in Q1/20) in rent uplifts on turnover, including 11.6% on liberalized suites (2.8% of suites), 4.1% on regulated suites (0.5% of suites), and 33.4% on suites converted into liberalized (0.5% of suites).
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Looking ahead, renewal increases will be 0% in 2021 on regulated suites (41.5% of total portfolio). For liberalized suites, the government has implemented a rental cap on renewals at CPI + 1% for the next three years. For 2021, the REIT has served notices on 94% of liberalized suites at a weighted average increase of 2.3% beginning July 1. There is no limit on increases on turnover for liberalized suites. With turnover of ~15%, we believe the REIT can still generate 3.0%-3.5% annual revenue growth.
Balance Sheet/Other
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While there were no acquisitions in Q1, we do expect the REIT to be active over the balance of 2021.
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On March 10, 2021, ERES extended its Pipeline Agreement with CAPREIT for an additional two-years ending March 29, 2023. The agreement gives ERES access to an additional €165mm to acquire properties that meets its investment mandate, but is unable to acquire with its own resources.
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Q1/21 leverage was 47.3%, +10bps q/q (WAIR: 1.61%; WADM: 4.2 years). The REIT has no maturities until December 2022. As at March 31, ERES had liquidity of €101mm (€11mm of cash; €90mm undrawn on credit lines), essentially unchanged from Q4/20.
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