Post by
Y93H1979 on Mar 31, 2021 6:36pm
A comparison of two Marathons.
Let's do our best to compare Marathon gold with GENM. Your thought welcome.
MOZ just released their DFS for the Valentine gold project. At SPOT, NPV 5% discount of $868 mill CAD. CAPEX $305. Mine life 13 years. Market Cap $475 mill.
I'm sure we're all familiar with GENM numbers by now. Roughy double the NPV (at spot), yet 1/3 the MC, both in Canada etc... Is there a fatal flaw with GENM I can't see? Then why would management buy on the open market? Drew had access to all the raw data we don't see as retail and took the job AND bought shares. These questions run circles in my head.
Compare the MC of MOZ with GENM and here we see the disconnect between a gold company and a "polymetallic" project. I see this as largely an emotional thing. Gold (and silver) just grabs the interest like no other commodity (except maybe Uranium). It's almost cult like (not that I'm not a gold bug, I am, that's why I can say these things!). MOZ took aaaaaages to get to where they are now. IF a project is stellar, management will move heaven and earth to get to a production decision. A whole bunch of goldies in canada have been dragging their feet sitting on studies (see Sabina). GENM is the opposite. Everything I've seen from management indicates they really want to build ASAP.
The only major risk is Pd price (IMO). We may have to wait a little longer for the long awaited re rating. It may take absolute certainty (like a funding announcement and/or permits), so will take patience, a virtue not many resources investors have...
Comment by
Sacks7 on Mar 31, 2021 8:07pm
I own both and this is way undervalued
Comment by
timeoutofmind on Mar 31, 2021 9:04pm
why is it undervalued ? because of me ? because of bogeymen MM's working tirelessly seven days a week to suppress it ? or because the market thinks there is something fundamentally wrong ? seriously. it is way well past the time where it's an undiscovered secret sleeper. why does eveyone keep taking a look and deciding they dont' like what they see ? honestly .. .?
Comment by
JAUBE123 on Mar 31, 2021 9:50pm
No one knows , that's the fun part. Stock market is a funny thing sometimes. It's junior mining...
Comment by
Specific on Mar 31, 2021 10:50pm
I own both as well sacks. from marathon pgm I got moz and now I'm in genm as well . I've been in for some time now both have very serious upside !!!! I recently averaged up at.81 in genm my experience is that averaging up is way better than averaging down lol im bullish on both companies
Comment by
Sacks7 on Apr 01, 2021 4:29pm
Yes averaging up is better than down . This conservatively should be trading atleast at 35% Nov = 350 million