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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum H&R Real Estate Investment Trust T.HR.UN

Alternate Symbol(s):  HRUFF

H&R Real Estate Investment Trust is a Canada-based real estate investment trust. The Company owns, operates and develops residential and commercial properties across Canada and in the United States. The Company operates through the four segments: Residential, Industrial, Office and Retail. The Residential segment consists of approximately 24 residential properties in select markets in the... see more

TSX:HR.UN - Post Discussion

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Post by SNAKEYBOY on Apr 30, 2022 9:58am

5 year potential

If they continue to cancel 10% of the float every year at a discount, in 5 years half the shares will be retired, all their office/retal will be gone, and you will be sitting on $25-30/unit industrial and residential reit.    This is of course contingent on them selling their assets at or above FMV and buying back 50% of the float at a discount.
Comment by alkhor on Apr 30, 2022 10:51am
Hate to be a stipler for detail, but after 5 years of cancelling 10%, it will be 59% of of the current float remaining. You can't cancel shares that have already been cancelled.
Comment by SNAKEYBOY on Apr 30, 2022 1:31pm
On a recursive basis, you are right, but the fact is eventually things have to sway to the  upside
Comment by materialsgirl on May 01, 2022 10:34am
Mathematically the 59% number is correct. Nonetheless there is no way that this show will go on for 5 years. At least it is unlikely. The discount will shrink or there will be a takeover  offer. Within 12 to 24 months the company will become simpler as assets are  sold.  There would be no money to buy back shares when massive development  gets underway. The share price is a ...more  
Comment by Mephistopheles3 on Apr 30, 2022 2:41pm
One thing to keep in mind with regards to long-term share buybacks like what's happening now is that most of the proceeds that will come from selling the retail/office assets are tagged towards going towards future develoments in the residential Lantower segment, it's not 100% all going towards share buybacks.   The Cove development out in New Jersey is going to cost something ...more  
Comment by SNAKEYBOY on Apr 30, 2022 3:28pm
Selling Office/retail is about 50% of their market cap right now, plus FFO retention from the smaller dividend. The should be able to continue to fund it, and I assume it will be a priority if there's a 30-40% discount
Comment by CatchTheDip on Apr 30, 2022 5:03pm
Long term is no question the strength and growth in Residential. Soon with write ups, and retail asset sales, residential will be over 50% of the holdings. Both long term, and short term, have great catalysts. The market will price it in, and likely a good chunk of it soon. Buybacks have us spring loaded for the next jump. Crazy we still have sellers at this price. Let them flake out. It's not ...more  
Comment by SNAKEYBOY on Apr 30, 2022 9:25pm
While residential is solid now, who knows if the future brings an excess supply of housing that can't be filled.  Remember 2008
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