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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Kelt Exploration Ltd T.KEL

Alternate Symbol(s):  KELTF

Kelt Exploration Ltd oil and gas company. The Company is focused on the exploration, development and production of crude oil and natural gas resources in northwestern Alberta and northeastern British Columbia. The Company's assets are comprised of three operating divisions: Wembley/Pipestone in Alberta; Pouce Coupe/Progress/Spirit River in Alberta, and Oak/Flatrock in British Columbia. The... see more

TSX:KEL - Post Discussion

Kelt Exploration Ltd > Kelt looks cheap
View:
Post by MyHoneyPot on Nov 18, 2022 11:35pm

Kelt looks cheap

It seems to me that Kelt has had in both Q3 and Q2 plant issues that have reduced production. It also looks like they will have a moderate capex spend in the third quarter, 50 million dollars and end the year with zero debt. 

In 2023, next year more capex will be directed towards drilling and less towards plant. 

I actively trade Kelt in my registered accounts, and had previously owned Kelt, sold it off and now i believe i am back for what is see should be a big runup with zero risk. They will have not zero debt and i expect to see a bit of a production surprize to the upside.

I think their actual production number are a bit understated, because of shutting in production because of AECO prices and plant downtime, they are a little vague in regards to the amount of production that was locked in because of price. 

Next year their focus area is big wells, and with a convervative capex program, they will never be over extended, and with a market cap = enterprize value of approximatel 1 billion dollars. My guess they will produce 30,000 boe a day in Q4 i would guess they are trading at 1/2 price.

It all looks good to me, i am looking to have a dicussion with management in the next few day.

IMHO
Comment by PabloLafortune on Nov 19, 2022 11:21am
Kelt sum of the parts are worth more than the whole thing. Most capex in 2022 was spent on infrastructure and delineating (Wembley drilling map is not concentrated at all). Q4 (not Q3) capex is $50M? while CF could be over $100M. Since balance sheet in Q3 2022 is similar to Q4 2022, they should start 2023 in even better shape than 2022. NG is also 33% actually diversified for 2023. Given the ...more  
Comment by RusticHit on Nov 28, 2022 10:34am
Do you think this could perform like POU or NVA  did  then Tell Richy Ray to load this Up as he could Move the stock with his Big Money ,,,
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